Sat, Oct 26, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Winnipeg Jets 5, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
57%
CGY winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.07 | 40.3% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:58 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.05 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 20:13 | 0.91 | 30.2% | +28.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.05 | 57.4% | +47.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.04 | 62.7% | +28.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.32 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.02 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.13 | 54.2% | +25.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16:01 | 0.37 | 55.7% | +9.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:15 | 1.04 | 60.1% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.04 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.06 | 63.2% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.14 | 69.9% | +39.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 11:21 | 0.16 | 63.8% | +45.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.02 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:41 | 0.06 | 28.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.01 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.64 | −0.4 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 27:13 | 0.30 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:42 | 0.46 | 49.4% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:55 | 0.02 | 51.4% | +9.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.10 | 58.3% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.02 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.37 | 40.4% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:20 | 0.10 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.13 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:02 | 0.11 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:25 | 0.59 | 59.5% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.08 | 36.2% | +57.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.22 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:36 | 0.04 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:09 | 0.00 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:15 | 0.02 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:01 | 0.03 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.05 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.47 | −1.5 | 58:27 |