Sun, Oct 27, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Anaheim Ducks 2, New Jersey Devils 6
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 17 | 03 | 116 | 226 |
| NJD | 016 | 412 | 26 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:47ANABrock McGinnAssists: Troy Terry, Ryan Strome · Snap, 0.04 xG1–0
- P2 1:16NJDJack HughesAssists: Timo Meier, Dawson Mercer · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–1
- P2 4:42NJDStefan NoesenAssists: Johnathan Kovacevic, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 17:23NJDStefan NoesenPPGWGAssists: Jesper Bratt, Dougie Hamilton · Snap, 0.29 xG1–3
- P2 18:49NJDPaul CotterAssists: Dawson Mercer, Jonas Siegenthaler · Wrist, 0.25 xG1–4
- P3 1:50NJDNico HischierAssists: Dougie Hamilton · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–5
- P3 13:10ANARyan StromeAssists: Cam Fowler, Cutter Gauthier · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–5
- P3 19:01NJDErik HaulaAssists: Ondrej Palat, Brenden Dillon · Snap, 0.17 xG2–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:13ANARoss Johnston: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:13NJDKurtis MacDermid: Fighting5 min
- P1 15:20NJDBrenden Dillon: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:21ANAMason McTavish: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
- P3 0:49NJDPaul Cotter: Roughing2 min
- P3 0:49ANAFrank Vatrano: Roughing2 min
- P3 13:39NJDTimo Meier: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hughes won the faceoff against Carlsson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestTerry – McTavish – Gauthier9:08
xG 0.36–0.22 (62%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Strome – Vatrano – Terry3:02
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- McGinn – Johnston – Lundeström2:45
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Fabbri – Zegras – Carlsson7:52
xG 0.18–0.29 (39%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Dumoulin – Mintyukov8:27
xG 0.22–0.39 (37%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Gudas – Zellweger7:41
xG 0.10–0.33 (24%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- Fowler – Zellweger8:17
xG 0.20–0.45 (31%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHaula – Noesen – Cotter5:33
xG 0.39–0.11 (78%)attempts 7–4goals 1–1
- Meier – Hischier – Mercer9:43
xG 0.43–0.19 (70%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Palat – Bratt – Hughes6:57
xG 0.29–0.41 (42%)attempts 10–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPesce – Hughes14:10
xG 0.62–0.02 (97%)attempts 17–3goals 0–0
- Siegenthaler – Kovacevic16:00
xG 0.98–0.45 (68%)attempts 14–13goals 2–1
- Dillon – Hamilton14:33
xG 0.91–0.39 (70%)attempts 18–13goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NJD − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).