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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 27, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Ottawa Senators 4, Colorado Avalanche 5

Away

Ottawa Senators

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 85% of the time.

COL winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:42Shot by Amadio, saved by Annunen
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  4. P1 3:17Amadio: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, O'Connor · OTT Jensen, Amadio, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  5. P1 3:50Shot by Giroux, saved by Annunen5v4
  6. P1 4:16Shot by Colton, saved by Forsberg5v4
  7. P1 4:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg5v4
  8. P1 5:37Shot by Amadio, saved by Annunen
  9. P1 5:59Shot by Batherson, saved by Annunen
  10. P1 6:47Shot by Colton, saved by Forsberg
  11. P1 6:52Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  12. P1 9:11Shot by Chabot, saved by Annunen
  13. P1 11:10Shot by Hamonic, saved by Annunen
  14. P1 11:37Rantanen: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Colton, Malinski · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle

  15. P1 14:09Shot by Rantanen, saved by Forsberg
  16. P1 16:16Shot by Wood, saved by Forsberg
  17. P1 19:52Goal by Kovalenko (Mittelstadt, MacKinnon)6v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, MacKinnon, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, O'Connor · OTT Amadio, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Kleven, Stützle

  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:40Shot by Colton, saved by Forsberg
  21. P2 1:30Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  22. P2 2:04Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Forsberg
  23. P2 2:32Shot by Rantanen, saved by Forsberg
  24. P2 2:57Shot by Colton, saved by Ullmark
  25. P2 3:25Shot by Norris, saved by Annunen
  26. P2 4:12Shot by Wagner, saved by Forsberg
  27. P2 4:49Shot by Ivan, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 5:24Shot by Chabot, saved by Annunen
  29. P2 5:36Shot by Kleven, saved by Annunen
  30. P2 5:42Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Annunen
  31. P2 9:49Shot by Norris, saved by Annunen
  32. P2 10:21Shot by Wood, saved by Forsberg
  33. P2 15:12Shot by Kelly, saved by Forsberg
  34. P2 16:01Shot by Stützle, saved by Annunen
  35. P2 16:07Shot by Hamonic, saved by Annunen
  36. P2 17:15Shot by Ivan, saved by Forsberg
  37. P2 19:22Shot by Giroux, saved by Annunen
  38. P2 19:42Goal by Manson (Mittelstadt, Girard)+14 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Rantanen, Girard, Colton, Mittelstadt · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle

  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:40Shot by O'Connor, saved by Forsberg
  42. P3 1:42Shot by Toews, saved by Forsberg
  43. P3 2:04Shot by Rantanen, saved by Forsberg
  44. P3 2:12Shot by Gaudette, saved by Annunen
  45. P3 3:12Shot by Hamonic, saved by Annunen
  46. P3 3:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  47. P3 5:04Shot by Rantanen, saved by Forsberg
  48. P3 5:53Shot by Gregor, saved by Annunen
  49. P3 8:49Shot by Gregor, saved by Annunen
  50. P3 9:15Goal by Tkachuk (Kleven, Cousins)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, MacKinnon, Makar, Kovalenko, O'Connor · OTT Cousins, Tkachuk, Bernard-Docker, Kleven, Stützle

  51. P3 9:55Shot by Giroux, saved by Annunen
  52. P3 11:20Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Annunen
  53. P3 11:23Goal by Cousins (Tkachuk, Stützle)+30 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Rantanen, Girard, Colton, Mittelstadt · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  54. P3 12:06Shot by Wagner, saved by Forsberg
  55. P3 12:13Shot by Makar, saved by Forsberg
  56. P3 12:47Shot by Rantanen, saved by Forsberg
  57. P3 13:29Goal by O'Connor (Mittelstadt, Girard)+33 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, O'Connor · OTT Jensen, Cousins, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle

  58. P3 14:47Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Forsberg
  59. P3 15:00Shot by Colton, saved by Forsberg
  60. P3 15:01Goal by Colton (Makar)+9 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Colton, Makar · OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Norris, Batherson, Sanderson

  61. P3 16:35Shot by Norris, saved by Annunen
  62. P3 16:48Goal by Giroux (Batherson, Chabot)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Colton, Makar · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Sanderson

  63. P3 17:47Shot by Chabot, saved by Annunen
  64. P3 18:08Shot by Giroux, saved by Annunen5v6
  65. P3 18:37Shot by Giroux, saved by Annunen5v6
  66. P3 18:45Goal by MacKinnon (Rantanen)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Colton · OTT Giroux, Chabot, Norris, Batherson, Greig, Sanderson

  67. P3 19:25Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Annunen5v6
  68. P3 19:45Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Annunen5v6
  69. P3 19:50Goal by Giroux (Norris, Tkachuk)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Toews, Mittelstadt, O'Connor, Kiviranta · OTT Giroux, Norris, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle

  70. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  71. P3 0:00Final5v6