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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 30, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Colorado Avalanche 2

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 54% of the time.

COL winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Hagel, saved by Kahkonen
  3. P1 1:01Goal by Kucherov (Point, Hedman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, Kylington, Kelly, Kovalenko, Malinski · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser

  4. P1 3:36Goal by Guentzel (Kucherov, McDonagh)+12 pts WP

    On ice: COL Manson, Toews, Kylington, Kelly, Kovalenko · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser

  5. P1 5:07Shot by Cernak, saved by Kahkonen
  6. P1 5:20Shot by Wagner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:20Shot by Wagner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:32Goal by Geekie (Cirelli, Hagel)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL Wagner, Tynan, Girard, Stienburg, Malinski · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Geekie

  9. P1 7:43Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 9:42Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:26Shot by Stienburg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 11:14Shot by Cernak, saved by Kahkonen
  13. P1 11:57Shot by Moser, saved by Kahkonen
  14. P1 12:19Rantanen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Makar, Kiviranta · TBL Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser, Geekie

  15. P1 13:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  16. P1 14:10Vasilevskiy: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Wagner, Toews, Makar, Kiviranta · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Hagel

  17. P1 14:56Goal by Ivan (Makar, MacKinnon)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Mittelstadt, Makar, Ivan · TBL McDonagh, Glendening, Paul, Cernak

  18. P1 15:15Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 16:41Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Kahkonen
  20. P1 16:43Shot by Paul, saved by Kahkonen
  21. P1 17:29Shot by de Haan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:58Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kahkonen
  25. P2 1:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Kahkonen
  26. P2 1:26Shot by Moser, saved by Kahkonen
  27. P2 2:22Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 2:39Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 2:55Shot by Hagel, saved by Kahkonen
  30. P2 3:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 3:12Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 3:33Lilleberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Tynan, Toews, Kylington, Stienburg · TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Girgensons, Raddysh, Lilleberg

  33. P2 3:33Stienburg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Tynan, Toews, Kylington, Stienburg · TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Girgensons, Raddysh, Lilleberg

  34. P2 3:33Lilleberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Manson, Tynan, Toews, Kylington, Stienburg · TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Girgensons, Raddysh, Lilleberg

  35. P2 3:59Shot by Ivan, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  36. P2 4:00Shot by Ivan, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 5:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Kahkonen5v4
  38. P2 5:15Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  39. P2 5:56Shot by Guentzel, saved by Kahkonen
  40. P2 6:15Shot by Tynan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 6:28Goal by Guentzel (Point, Kucherov)+10 pts WP

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Manson, Kelly, Ivan · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh

  42. P2 7:24Shot by Kiviranta, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 7:53Shot by Geekie, saved by Kahkonen
  44. P2 8:03Shot by McDonagh, saved by Kahkonen
  45. P2 10:58Atkinson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Kelly, Kovalenko, Malinski · TBL McDonagh, Atkinson, Glendening, Girgensons, Cernak

  46. P2 12:53Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  47. P2 13:44Cernak: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kiviranta · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak

  48. P2 14:47Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  49. P2 15:32Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  50. P2 15:47Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 17:05Shot by Manson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 17:18Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Wagner, Manson, Kelly, Stienburg, Malinski · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Geekie

  53. P2 17:18Stienburg: Charging (5 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Wagner, Manson, Kelly, Stienburg, Malinski · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Geekie

  54. P2 17:18Stienburg: Game misconduct (10 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Wagner, Manson, Kelly, Stienburg, Malinski · TBL McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel, Geekie

  55. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:30Shot by Hagel, saved by Kahkonen4v5
  58. P3 2:02Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  59. P3 2:51Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 6:41Shot by Kelly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 7:32Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 9:22Wagner: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Manson, Mittelstadt, Kelly · TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Moser

  63. P3 9:22Eyssimont: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: COL de Haan, Wagner, Manson, Mittelstadt, Kelly · TBL Atkinson, Glendening, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Moser

  64. P3 10:00Shot by Kelly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 10:01Shot by Ivan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 10:03Shot by Ivan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 10:04Shot by Ivan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 10:43Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  69. P3 10:57Goal by Makar (Rantanen, MacKinnon)+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Girard, Makar, Kiviranta · TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Lilleberg

  70. P3 11:50Tynan: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: COL Rantanen, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, Kiviranta · TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Paul, Chaffee, Moser

  71. P3 14:51Shot by Malinski, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 14:59Shot by de Haan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  73. P3 15:03Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 18:40Goal by Cirelli (Hagel)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Mittelstadt, Makar, Ivan · TBL McDonagh, Paul, Cirelli, Hagel, Moser

  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final