Wed, Oct 30, 2024·Ball Arena, Denver
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 54% of the time.
44%
10%
8%
38%
COL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 25:22 | 0.28 | 59.7% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 24:52 | 0.05 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:25 | 0.12 | 43.0% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:28 | 0.02 | 60.2% | +11.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.86 | 48.2% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:45 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 18:34 | 0.71 | 68.0% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.13 | 68.0% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.05 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.28 | 73.0% | +34.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.02 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.20 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:54 | 0.33 | 60.8% | +9.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 14.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:28 | 0.04 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.00 | 10.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.31 | +1.3 | 60:00 |
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 25:30 | 0.53 | 72.9% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24:58 | 0.13 | 72.0% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:37 | 0.44 | 65.6% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:36 | 0.09 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 21:39 | 0.20 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.06 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 6 | 18:11 | 0.75 | 40.7% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:34 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.05 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:22 | 0.41 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.20 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.13 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.06 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.19 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:36 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:31 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 4:06 | 0.06 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 2.33 | −1.7 | 58:16 |