Wed, Nov 13, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Washington Capitals 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
38%
9%
45%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:01 | 0.02 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:08 | 0.41 | 34.2% | +41.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:24 | 0.33 | 62.0% | +95.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.39 | 54.8% | +50.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:58 | 0.27 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:56 | 0.24 | 52.2% | +66.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:55 | 0.05 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:33 | 0.32 | 50.8% | +8.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:15 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 18:24 | 0.84 | 63.8% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.00 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.04 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 29.5% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:09 | 0.23 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:34 | 0.28 | 84.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:44 | 0.62 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:22 | 0.00 | 70.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.05 | 0.0 | 62:54 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:43 | 0.39 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:18 | 0.02 | 58.7% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.05 | 39.7% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 19:51 | 0.50 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:44 | 0.01 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.36 | 66.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:27 | 0.13 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.03 | 63.7% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.07 | 34.8% | +12.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:28 | 0.37 | 60.8% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 | 0.01 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:50 | 0.76 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:32 | 0.40 | 60.9% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:09 | 0.07 | 87.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.50 | 90.1% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:50 | 0.00 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.10 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.04 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 4.04 | 0.0 | 64:13 |