Sat, Nov 16, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Edmonton Oilers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
9%
39%
TOR winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:39 | 0.22 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:01 | 0.06 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 4 | 24:46 | 0.40 | 26.1% | +60.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22:09 | 0.55 | 68.6% | +60.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.11 | 27.9% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:28 | 0.11 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.13 | 27.9% | +40.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.29 | 69.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.06 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.03 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.05 | 58.3% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.08 | 47.8% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.16 | 99.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.22 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:51 | 0.04 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:45 | 0.03 | 84.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 2.60 | −1.4 | 60:04 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 24:00 | 0.22 | 68.8% | +60.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.05 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:35 | 0.37 | 69.8% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.04 | 51.6% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:18 | 0.48 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.16 | 32.2% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.22 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:14 | 0.04 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:06 | 0.50 | 68.6% | +47.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.01 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.17 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.01 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.00 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:05 | 0.12 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:40 | 0.21 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:46 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:54 | 0.00 | 16.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.54 | −0.5 | 60:40 |