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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 23, 2024·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Buffalo Sabres 4, San Jose Sharks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 75% of the time.

SJS winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Power, saved by Blackwood
  3. P1 2:04Clifton: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Rutta, Thompson, Smith, Celebrini · BUF Clifton, Bryson, Cozens, Rosen, Benson

  4. P1 2:29Shot by Granlund, saved by Reimer5v4
  5. P1 2:55Shot by Toffoli, saved by Reimer5v4
  6. P1 3:14Shot by Toffoli, saved by Reimer5v4
  7. P1 3:33Shot by Goodrow, saved by Reimer5v4
  8. P1 7:09Shot by Celebrini, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:17Shot by Goodrow, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 7:29Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 7:52Shot by Rutta, saved by Reimer
  12. P1 8:11Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Reimer
  13. P1 8:34Shot by Rutta, saved by Reimer
  14. P1 8:42Shot by Krebs, saved by Blackwood
  15. P1 8:47Shot by Power, saved by Blackwood
  16. P1 8:51Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 9:57Shot by Walman, saved by Reimer
  18. P1 9:59Goal by Zetterlund (Walman, Eklund)+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Granlund, Ceci, Walman, Zetterlund, Eklund · BUF Bryson, Quinn, Peterka, Power, Kulich

  19. P1 10:46Shot by Byram, saved by Blackwood
  20. P1 11:03Goal by Krebs (Byram)+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Ferraro, Liljegren, Smith, Celebrini · BUF Lafferty, Malenstyn, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram

  21. P1 12:01Shot by Walman, saved by Reimer
  22. P1 12:12Shot by Peterka, saved by Blackwood
  23. P1 12:35Shot by Quinn, saved by Blackwood
  24. P1 14:43Shot by Walman, saved by Reimer
  25. P1 18:08Shot by Zucker, saved by Blackwood
  26. P1 18:55Shot by Goodrow, saved by Reimer
  27. P1 19:16Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  28. P1 19:19Kunin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Kunin, Rutta, Thompson · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Bryson, Krebs

  29. P1 19:19Kunin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Kunin, Rutta, Thompson · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Bryson, Krebs

  30. P1 19:19Lafferty: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Kunin, Rutta, Thompson · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Bryson, Krebs

  31. P1 19:19Lafferty: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Kunin, Rutta, Thompson · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Bryson, Krebs

  32. P1 19:26Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood
  33. P1 19:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 0:45Shot by Byram, saved by Blackwood
  37. P2 1:41Shot by Goodrow, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 2:11Shot by Goodrow, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 2:50Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 3:57Shot by Toffoli, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 4:07Goal by Kunin (Toffoli, Wennberg)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Ceci, Wennberg, Walman, Kunin · BUF Clifton, Lafferty, Malenstyn, Bryson, Krebs

  42. P2 6:27Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 6:32Clifton: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Grundstrom, Ferraro, Kostin, Liljegren, Dellandrea · BUF Clifton, Bryson, Cozens, Rosen, Benson

  44. P2 7:07Shot by Toffoli, saved by Reimer5v4
  45. P2 7:32Shot by Celebrini, saved by Reimer5v4
  46. P2 7:50Shot by Eklund, saved by Reimer5v4
  47. P2 9:02Shot by Kunin, saved by Reimer
  48. P2 9:53Shot by Thompson, saved by Reimer
  49. P2 10:42Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood
  50. P2 11:25Shot by Dahlin, saved by Blackwood
  51. P2 12:08Liljegren: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Ferraro, Liljegren, Smith, Celebrini · BUF Tuch, Dahlin, Byram, Quinn, Peterka, Kulich

  52. P2 12:11Shot by Zucker, saved by Blackwood4v5
  53. P2 12:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Blackwood4v5
  54. P2 13:24Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood4v5
  55. P2 13:31Shot by Kulich, saved by Blackwood4v5
  56. P2 15:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood
  57. P2 15:51Shot by Benson, saved by Blackwood
  58. P2 15:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Blackwood
  59. P2 17:47Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood
  60. P2 19:40Shot by Granlund, saved by Reimer
  61. P2 0:00Period end
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:19Shot by Power, saved by Blackwood
  64. P3 1:25Shot by Power, saved by Blackwood
  65. P3 1:42Shot by Dahlin, saved by Blackwood
  66. P3 2:07Goal by Cozens (Dahlin, Byram)+24 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Granlund, Ferraro, Liljegren, Zetterlund, Eklund · BUF Dahlin, Krebs, Byram, Cozens, Benson

  67. P3 4:42Dahlin: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Wennberg, Kunin, Ferraro, Liljegren, Zetterlund · BUF McLeod, Dahlin, Krebs, Byram, Peterka

  68. P3 5:27Goal by Tuch, unassisted5v4+33 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Granlund, Wennberg, Liljegren, Celebrini · BUF Clifton, Tuch, McLeod, Power

  69. P3 6:58Grundstrom: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Ceci, Grundstrom, Kostin, Dellandrea, Thompson · BUF Jokiharju, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens, Benson

  70. P3 6:58Benson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Ceci, Grundstrom, Kostin, Dellandrea, Thompson · BUF Jokiharju, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens, Benson

  71. P3 9:42Shot by Cozens, saved by Blackwood
  72. P3 10:34Shot by Toffoli, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 12:01Shot by Liljegren, saved by Reimer
  74. P3 12:22Krebs: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Liljegren, Rutta, Smith, Celebrini · BUF Zucker, Clifton, Bryson, Krebs, Quinn

  75. P3 12:41Shot by Celebrini, saved by Reimer5v4
  76. P3 14:03Zucker: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Walman, Zetterlund, Eklund, Celebrini · BUF Tuch, Jokiharju, McLeod, Byram

  77. P3 14:14Shot by Smith, saved by Reimer5v3
  78. P3 15:05Shot by Toffoli, saved by Reimer5v4
  79. P3 15:43Shot by Dahlin, saved by Blackwood5v4
  80. P3 16:32Shot by Zucker, saved by Blackwood
  81. P3 17:02Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Walman, Kunin, Thompson, Smith · BUF Lafferty, Jokiharju, Cozens, Power, Benson

  82. P3 19:59Goal by Dahlin, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Granlund, Wennberg, Zetterlund, Eklund, Celebrini · BUF Tuch, McLeod, Dahlin, Krebs, Power

  83. P3 0:00Period end
  84. P3 0:00Final