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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 4, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Nashville Predators

2

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Forsberg, saved by Woll
  3. P1 0:39Shot by Sissons, saved by Woll
  4. P1 2:08Shot by Josi, saved by Woll
  5. P1 4:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  6. P1 5:01Shot by Knies, saved by Saros
  7. P1 5:26Goal by Marchessault (Josi)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Myers, Matthews, Knies · NSH Schenn, Marchessault, Jankowski, Wilsby, Svechkov

  8. P1 6:08Tavares: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Reaves, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Grebenkin · NSH Nyquist, Skjei, Jankowski, Svechkov, Blankenburg

  9. P1 7:22Shot by Forsberg, saved by Woll4v5
  10. P1 10:18Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Saros
  11. P1 10:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Saros
  12. P1 11:04Shot by Robertson, saved by Saros
  13. P1 11:07Shot by Lorentz, saved by Saros
  14. P1 13:24Shot by L'Heureux, saved by Woll
  15. P1 13:38Shot by Josi, saved by Woll
  16. P1 14:03Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros
  17. P1 14:09Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Marner, Myers, Holmberg · NSH Stamkos, Josi, Marchessault, Novak, Carrier

  18. P1 15:23Shot by Smith, saved by Woll5v4
  19. P1 16:06Shot by Minten, saved by Saros5v4
  20. P1 16:09Shot by Minten, saved by Saros
  21. P1 18:35Shot by Evangelista, saved by Woll
  22. P1 19:08Shot by Tanev, saved by Saros
  23. P1 19:43Shot by Minten, saved by Saros
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:51Shot by Forsberg, saved by Woll
  27. P2 1:35Shot by Myers, saved by Saros
  28. P2 1:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  29. P2 4:12Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Woll
  30. P2 4:44Shot by Myers, saved by Saros
  31. P2 5:32Shot by Minten, saved by Saros
  32. P2 7:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Saros
  33. P2 10:38Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Saros
  34. P2 15:19Shot by Benoit, saved by Saros
  35. P2 19:01Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 0:31Goal by Matthews (Marner, Rielly)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Knies · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Carrier

  39. P3 1:15Shot by Minten, saved by Saros
  40. P3 1:37Shot by Reaves, saved by Saros
  41. P3 2:29Goal by Matthews (Marner)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Marner, Matthews, Minten · NSH Josi, Nyquist, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Carrier

  42. P3 2:42Benoit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Lorentz, Myers, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson · NSH Schenn, Novak, Evangelista, Wilsby, Svechkov

  43. P3 3:10Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Myers, Matthews · NSH Stamkos, Josi, O'Reilly, Marchessault, Forsberg

  44. P3 3:16Shot by Timmins, saved by Saros4v4
  45. P3 4:32Shot by Rielly, saved by Saros4v4
  46. P3 4:34Marchessault: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Timmins · NSH Josi, Marchessault, Forsberg, Wilsby

  47. P3 4:56Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros5v3
  48. P3 5:06Goal by Nylander (Knies, Marner)5v3+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies · NSH Skjei, Sissons, Carrier

  49. P3 6:00Shot by Sissons, saved by Woll5v4
  50. P3 6:23Shot by Blankenburg, saved by Woll5v4
  51. P3 6:24Shot by Jankowski, saved by Woll5v4
  52. P3 8:32Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  53. P3 8:40Shot by Skjei, saved by Woll
  54. P3 8:55Shot by Forsberg, saved by Woll
  55. P3 10:25Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  56. P3 11:36Shot by Forsberg, saved by Woll
  57. P3 12:30Shot by Schenn, saved by Woll
  58. P3 13:16Shot by Jankowski, saved by Woll
  59. P3 14:10Shot by Marchessault, saved by Woll
  60. P3 16:38Goal by Jankowski (Carrier, Smith)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies · NSH Skjei, Jankowski, Sissons, Carrier, Smith

  61. P3 18:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Saros
  62. P3 18:38Shot by Nyquist, saved by Woll5v6
  63. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  64. P3 0:00Final5v6