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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 4, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Nashville Predators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

TOR winsNSH wins

Nashville Predators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Roman JosiD · #59011−2226:270.2048.3%+14.8
Alexandre CarrierD · #45011−1021:230.0044.5%+7.5
Filip ForsbergLW · #9000−2519:570.6738.0%0.0
Brady SkjeiD · #76000+1119:290.0572.6%0.0
Gustav NyquistRW · #14000−2118:350.1140.7%0.0
Adam WilsbyD · #83000+1018:000.0045.8%0.0
Ryan O'ReillyC · #90000−2016:500.0038.7%0.0
Nick BlankenburgD · #370000215:540.0672.6%0.0
Jonathan MarchessaultC · #81101+1215:510.2857.4%+14.8
Steven StamkosC · #910000015:240.0039.3%0.0
Luke SchennD · #2000+1115:000.0358.7%0.0
Colton SissonsC · #10000+1214:110.2387.4%0.0
Tommy NovakC · #820000013:320.0430.0%0.0
Cole SmithRW · #36011+1313:280.3972.4%+7.5
Fedor SvechkovC · #40000+1013:100.0078.8%0.0
Zachary L'HeureuxLW · #680000113:090.0761.3%0.0
Luke EvangelistaRW · #770000112:410.0669.8%0.0
Mark JankowskiLW · #17101+2312:370.3276.9%+7.5
Juuse Saros#74L28253.8932.27−0.758:26

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #950000224:130.0737.9%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16033+1022:340.0047.0%+64.7
John TavaresC · #910000121:110.2040.2%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440110220:390.1756.2%+28.5
Auston MatthewsC · #342020720:111.4258.9%+52.8
William NylanderRW · #88101−1219:300.2753.0%+11.8
Chris TanevD · #8000+1119:050.0639.1%0.0
Philippe MyersD · #51000−1218:050.0328.3%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23011−1117:450.0041.5%+11.8
Simon BenoitD · #2000−1116:510.0334.9%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #25000+1115:450.1463.2%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000014:350.0050.5%0.0
Fraser MintenC · #39000+1513:230.4045.5%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000112:230.0051.8%0.0
Connor DewarC · #240000012:080.013.8%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #180000110:500.0135.2%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000019:210.004.5%0.0
Nikita GrebenkinRW · #71000007:310.004.6%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W24222.9172.52+0.560:00