Wed, Dec 4, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Nashville Predators 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
45%
10%
9%
36%
TOR winsNSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Nyquist–O'Reilly–Forsberg | Sissons–Smith–L'Heureux | Novak–Evangelista–Svechkov | Stamkos–Marchessault–Novak | Stamkos–Marchessault–Jankowski | Jankowski–Evangelista–Svechkov | Stamkos–Marchessault–L'Heureux | Jankowski–Sissons–Smith | Josi–Carrier | Schenn–Wilsby | Skjei–Blankenburg | Skjei–Carrier | Josi–Wilsby | Josi–Skjei | Josi–Blankenburg | Wilsby–Blankenburg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Marner–Holmberg | 3:370.12–0.19 | 0:310.00–0.05 | 0:420.04–0.02 | 2:560.10–0.09 | 2:390.20–0.06 | 1:160.00–0.18 | ||||||||||
| Nylander–Matthews–Knies | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:060.02–0.05 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 1:570.06–0.00 | 2:360.05–0.00 | 1:000.08–0.18 | 2:510.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Reaves–Dewar–Grebenkin | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.16 | 1:580.01–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 2:070.00–0.15 | 2:480.00–0.04 | 0:510.00–0.01 | 0:340.01–0.00 | |||||||
| Lorentz–Robertson–Minten | 2:420.00–0.09 | 0:370.00–0.04 | 0:450.01–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.13 | 2:260.06–0.00 | 1:230.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 1:400.29–0.20 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:170.29–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.20 | 0:370.03–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Minten | 0:310.00–0.03 | 0:350.03–0.00 | 0:560.02–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.13 | 1:400.03–0.16 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Lorentz–Holmberg–Robertson | 1:080.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||
| Lorentz–Dewar–Holmberg | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Holmberg | 0:390.04–0.00 | 0:440.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | 6:050.14–0.42 | 1:070.00–0.15 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 4:280.19–0.26 | 1:160.00–0.03 | 3:120.00–0.33 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Rielly–Myers | 0:350.04–0.05 | 1:280.02–0.05 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:020.07–0.02 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 1:220.01–0.06 | 4:020.04–0.07 | 2:100.02–0.24 | 3:130.08–0.05 | |||||||
| Timmins–Benoit | 2:280.03–0.05 | 1:220.01–0.04 | 0:440.06–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:220.03–0.04 | 3:030.06–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.05 | |||||||||
| Myers–Benoit | 0:360.00–0.01 | 2:070.00–0.03 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.04 | 0:490.01–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Rielly–Timmins | 0:350.03–0.00 | 1:240.02–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.13 | 0:440.31–0.00 | 1:090.03–0.13 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Timmins | 0:450.00–0.09 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.09 | 0:490.14–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:420.06–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:580.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Tanev–Benoit | 1:220.06–0.00 | 1:260.06–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 0:300.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||||
| Tanev–Rielly | ||||||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Myers | 0:320.00–0.02 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Roman JosiNSH | 29 | 26:27 | 0:55 | 2:06 | 7 | 2 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 31 | 24:13 | 0:47 | 1:25 | 2 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 23 | 22:34 | 0:59 | 2:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Alexandre CarrierNSH | 24 | 21:23 | 0:53 | 1:44 | 4 | 2 |
 John TavaresTOR | 23 | 21:11 | 0:55 | 2:26 | 3 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 20:39 | 0:43 | 1:47 | 3 | 5 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 24 | 20:11 | 0:50 | 2:18 | 7 | 3 |
 Filip ForsbergNSH | 22 | 19:57 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 3 | 0 |
 William NylanderTOR | 21 | 19:30 | 0:56 | 2:10 | 6 | 1 |
 Brady SkjeiNSH | 28 | 19:29 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 1 | 6 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 27 | 19:05 | 0:42 | 1:28 | 2 | 3 |
 Gustav NyquistNSH | 22 | 18:35 | 0:51 | 1:42 | 1 | 1 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 26 | 18:05 | 0:42 | 1:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Adam WilsbyNSH | 25 | 18:00 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 1 | 6 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 22 | 17:45 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 7 | 0 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 27 | 16:51 | 0:37 | 0:59 | 3 | 4 |
 Ryan O'ReillyNSH | 21 | 16:50 | 0:48 | 2:08 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick BlankenburgNSH | 26 | 15:54 | 0:37 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Jonathan MarchessaultNSH | 21 | 15:51 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 5 | 2 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 25 | 15:45 | 0:38 | 1:28 | 4 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosNSH | 19 | 15:24 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 4 | 1 |
 Luke SchennNSH | 22 | 15:00 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 20 | 14:35 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |
 Colton SissonsNSH | 22 | 14:11 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 0 | 9 |
 Tommy NovakNSH | 17 | 13:32 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 3 | 0 |
 Cole SmithNSH | 21 | 13:28 | 0:38 | 1:05 | 1 | 7 |
 Fraser MintenTOR | 18 | 13:23 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 2 | 2 |
 Fedor SvechkovNSH | 15 | 13:10 | 0:53 | 2:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Zachary L'HeureuxNSH | 19 | 13:09 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 1 | 5 |
 Luke EvangelistaNSH | 15 | 12:41 | 0:51 | 2:13 | 2 | 1 |
 Mark JankowskiNSH | 18 | 12:37 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 16 | 12:23 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 15 | 12:08 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 17 | 10:50 | 0:38 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 12 | 9:21 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 2 | 2 |
 Nikita GrebenkinTOR | 11 | 7:31 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |