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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 5, 2024·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Colorado Avalanche 3, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 86% of the time.

CAR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by Rantanen, saved by Kochetkov
  3. P1 2:02Mittelstadt: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Aho, Roslovic, Necas, Svechnikov · COL Nichushkin, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, Malinski

  4. P1 3:17Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  5. P1 4:13Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Kochetkov
  6. P1 4:36Shot by Burns, saved by Wedgewood
  7. P1 4:38Shot by Staal, saved by Wedgewood
  8. P1 6:17Shot by Rantanen, saved by Kochetkov
  9. P1 8:06Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Wedgewood
  10. P1 8:09Shot by Chatfield, saved by Wedgewood
  11. P1 8:14Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Wedgewood
  12. P1 9:13Goal by Lehkonen (Makar)+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov, Jarvis · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  13. P1 9:18Shot by Drury, saved by Wedgewood
  14. P1 9:34Walker: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Necas, Walker, Robinson, Drury · COL de Haan, O'Connor, Ludvig, Kiviranta, Ivan

  15. P1 11:10Shot by Drury, saved by Wedgewood4v5
  16. P1 11:12Toews: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Robinson, Drury · COL Toews, Girard, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, Ivan

  17. P1 11:56Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  18. P1 12:34Shot by O'Connor, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  19. P1 14:14Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood
  20. P1 14:26Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood
  21. P1 16:05Goal by Robinson (Burns, Necas)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Robinson, Drury · COL de Haan, MacKinnon, Girard, O'Connor, Kiviranta

  22. P1 16:19Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood
  23. P1 16:40Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood
  24. P1 17:47Shot by Chatfield, saved by Wedgewood
  25. P1 17:55Shot by O'Connor, saved by Kochetkov
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:14Shot by Toews, saved by Kochetkov
  29. P2 1:28Shot by Martinook, saved by Wedgewood
  30. P2 2:25Shot by Roslovic, saved by Wedgewood6v5
  31. P2 3:01Mittelstadt: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Aho, Roslovic, Necas, Walker, Svechnikov · COL Toews, Makar, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta

  32. P2 3:21Shot by Necas, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  33. P2 4:09Goal by Jarvis (Aho, Svechnikov)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis · COL de Haan, Nichushkin, Girard, Kiviranta

  34. P2 4:25Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Wedgewood
  35. P2 4:30Shot by Jarvis, saved by Wedgewood
  36. P2 5:01Shot by Rantanen, saved by Kochetkov
  37. P2 5:14Shot by Toews, saved by Kochetkov
  38. P2 6:41Goal by Roslovic (Svechnikov, Walker)+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Aho, Roslovic, Walker, Svechnikov · COL de Haan, Mittelstadt, Kovalenko, O'Connor, Ludvig

  39. P2 8:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Kochetkov
  40. P2 8:57Shot by Slavin, saved by Wedgewood
  41. P2 9:34Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Wedgewood
  42. P2 9:48Shot by Blake, saved by Wedgewood
  43. P2 9:59Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Wedgewood
  44. P2 10:17Shot by Walker, saved by Wedgewood
  45. P2 10:58Shot by Rantanen, saved by Kochetkov
  46. P2 16:00Shot by Robinson, saved by Wedgewood
  47. P2 19:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Kochetkov
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:10Staal: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Jarvis · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  51. P3 2:18Shot by Makar, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  52. P3 2:35Drury: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Martinook, Chatfield, Drury · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen

  53. P3 3:11Shot by Makar, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  54. P3 5:33Shot by Aho, saved by Wedgewood
  55. P3 6:12Rantanen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Slavin, Roslovic, Chatfield, Svechnikov · COL Nichushkin, Rantanen, Girard, Kovalenko, Malinski

  56. P3 8:58Shot by Martinook, saved by Wedgewood
  57. P3 10:37Shot by Staal, saved by Wedgewood
  58. P3 11:56Shot by Orlov, saved by Wedgewood
  59. P3 14:13Shot by Makar, saved by Kochetkov
  60. P3 14:41Goal by Nichushkin (Kelly, Toews)+9 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Aho, Roslovic, Chatfield, Svechnikov · COL Nichushkin, Girard, Kelly, Ivan, Malinski

  61. P3 15:30Shot by de Haan, saved by Kochetkov
  62. P3 17:14Ivan: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Aho, Roslovic, Walker, Svechnikov · COL Girard, Mittelstadt, Kelly, Kiviranta, Ivan, Malinski

  63. P3 17:15Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Wedgewood5v4
  64. P3 17:49Goal by Necas (Svechnikov, Gostisbehere)5v4+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Gostisbehere, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis · COL Nichushkin, Toews, Girard, Kelly

  65. P3 18:13Goal by Nichushkin (MacKinnon, Makar)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Jarvis · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  66. P3 18:28Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Kochetkov5v6
  67. P3 19:44Goal by Svechnikov (Drury, Aho)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Slavin, Aho, Svechnikov, Drury · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final