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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 22, 2024·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 3, New York Rangers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 85% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Roslovic–JarvisStaal–Martinook–CarrierNecas–Robinson–KotkaniemiStaal–Martinook–SvechnikovCarrier–Jost–BlakeAho–Svechnikov–JarvisBurns–SlavinOrlov–ChatfieldGostisbehere–Walker
Trocheck–Panarin–Lafrenière3:570.01–0.421:390.00–0.182:370.22–0.310:360.00–0.004:480.17–0.353:450.06–0.441:230.00–0.08
Smith–Zibanejad–Berard1:490.50–0.011:270.02–0.080:460.12–0.021:360.00–0.120:460.00–0.422:100.28–0.024:010.02–0.620:310.12–0.02
Carrick–Vesey–Edstrom0:330.00–0.001:420.00–0.000:460.26–0.000:580.17–0.002:330.00–0.000:550.11–0.052:220.54–0.00
Kreider–Chytil–Cuylle0:400.00–0.001:020.00–0.000:400.00–0.051:240.00–0.000:570.00–0.002:070.01–0.161:510.00–0.05
Panarin–Chytil–Lafrenière1:150.00–0.04
Carrick–Berard–Cuylle0:390.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Borgen–Schneider2:260.00–0.291:570.00–0.481:460.12–0.101:560.00–0.090:590.00–0.005:340.01–0.414:050.00–0.562:530.11–0.17
Fox–Lindgren4:290.53–0.131:590.00–0.121:090.42–0.061:120.00–0.121:080.00–0.005:130.44–0.193:510.03–0.120:520.26–0.00
Ruhwedel–Vaakanainen1:090.00–0.010:450.00–0.062:250.10–0.000:550.11–0.001:200.00–0.451:210.00–0.034:090.17–0.664:080.06–0.04
Fox–Schneider0:520.01–0.000:400.00–0.000:420.03–0.00
Vaakanainen–Schneider0:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVesey FCarrick FEdstrom FPanarin FLafrenière FTrocheck FZibanejad FSmith FBerard FKreider FCuylle FChytil FRuhwedel DVaakanainen DFox DLindgren DSchneider DBorgen DShesterkin GStaal FSvechnikov FMartinook FAho FJarvis FRoslovic FKotkaniemi FNecas FRobinson FJost FCarrier FBlake FChatfield DOrlov DBurns DSlavin DWalker DGostisbehere DKochetkov G
NYRCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Adam FoxNYR2324:541:052:3336
Vincent TrocheckNYR2523:590:582:1345
Sebastian AhoCAR2423:460:591:5271
Seth JarvisCAR2523:390:571:5273
Artemi PanarinNYR2220:290:562:1444
Brent BurnsCAR2720:280:451:4942
Alexis LafrenièreNYR2120:200:582:3134
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2620:050:461:2324
Braden SchneiderNYR1919:581:032:1113
Dmitry OrlovCAR2519:560:481:4513
Jaccob SlavinCAR2619:360:451:3063
Mika ZibanejadNYR2418:580:471:5445
Ryan LindgrenNYR2418:420:471:0435
Will BorgenNYR2118:270:532:1314
Shayne GostisbehereCAR1818:101:011:4940
Jordan StaalCAR2517:470:431:3956
Martin NecasCAR1617:271:052:3030
Urho VaakanainenNYR2116:300:472:1911
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1816:220:552:1342
Jordan MartinookCAR2316:220:431:3955
Chris KreiderNYR2016:110:491:3053
Reilly SmithNYR2115:160:442:1834
Will CuylleNYR1714:250:511:3641
Chad RuhwedelNYR1813:150:442:1902
Sean WalkerCAR1613:140:501:3100
William CarrierCAR1712:590:461:2843
Sam CarrickNYR1512:500:511:5202
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1712:340:441:3121
Jack RoslovicCAR1512:160:491:2940
Filip ChytilNYR1411:530:511:3740
Brett BerardNYR1310:400:491:4022
Jackson BlakeCAR119:390:531:3101
Eric RobinsonCAR149:280:411:1120
Tyson JostCAR138:420:401:3100
Jimmy VeseyNYR118:000:441:0602
Adam EdstromNYR147:380:330:5602