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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 28, 2024·Honda Center, Anaheim

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Anaheim Ducks 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 85% of the time.

ANA winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:05Shot by Laughton, saved by Dostal
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ersson
  4. P1 1:37Shot by Strome, saved by Ersson
  5. P1 3:05Shot by Cates, saved by Dostal
  6. P1 5:04Shot by Farabee, saved by Dostal
  7. P1 5:13Shot by Carlsson, saved by Ersson
  8. P1 7:30Gauthier: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Dumoulin, Fabbri, Helleson, McTavish, Gauthier · PHI Sanheim, Tippett, Frost, York, Michkov

  9. P1 7:36Shot by Drysdale, saved by Dostal4v5
  10. P1 8:05Shot by Killorn, saved by Ersson4v5
  11. P1 8:35Shot by Leason, saved by Ersson4v5
  12. P1 10:25Michkov: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Killorn, Gudas, Leason, LaCombe, Carlsson · PHI Seeler, Laughton, Konecny, Drysdale, Michkov

  13. P1 11:52Shot by Terry, saved by Ersson5v4
  14. P1 15:15Shot by Laughton, saved by Dostal
  15. P1 15:37Shot by Gauthier, saved by Ersson
  16. P1 15:39Shot by McTavish, saved by Ersson
  17. P1 16:54Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ersson
  18. P1 18:25Shot by Tippett, saved by Dostal
  19. P1 19:05Shot by Seeler, saved by Dostal
  20. P1 19:33Shot by McTavish, saved by Ersson
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:28Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Ersson
  24. P2 1:31Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ersson
  25. P2 1:45Hathaway: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Killorn, Dumoulin, Leason, Helleson, Carlsson · PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Poehling, Farabee, Drysdale

  26. P2 1:50Terry: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: ANA Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Zellweger, Carlsson · PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Cates, York

  27. P2 3:09Shot by Helleson, saved by Ersson4v4
  28. P2 3:20Shot by Konecny, saved by Dostal4v4
  29. P2 3:40Shot by Michkov, saved by Dostal4v4
  30. P2 3:41Shot by Cates, saved by Dostal4v4
  31. P2 4:03Goal by Cates (Brink, York)+21 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Killorn, Terry, Helleson, Zellweger, Carlsson · PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Foerster

  32. P2 4:42Shot by Farabee, saved by Dostal
  33. P2 5:27Shot by Harkins, saved by Ersson
  34. P2 7:07Gudas: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Killorn, Gudas, Leason, LaCombe, Carlsson · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Brink, Foerster

  35. P2 8:17Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Dostal4v5
  36. P2 8:51Shot by Leason, saved by Ersson4v5
  37. P2 9:15Shot by Farabee, saved by Dostal
  38. P2 12:03Shot by Leason, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 12:52Shot by Cates, saved by Dostal
  40. P2 13:13Shot by Tippett, saved by Dostal
  41. P2 13:20Shot by Fabbri, saved by Ersson
  42. P2 14:05Shot by Carlsson, saved by Ersson
  43. P2 14:46Shot by Laughton, saved by Dostal
  44. P2 14:56Shot by Couturier, saved by Dostal
  45. P2 15:38Goal by Terry (Gudas, LaCombe)+26 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Trouba, Terry, McTavish, Zellweger, Gauthier · PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Foerster

  46. P2 15:52Shot by McTavish, saved by Ersson
  47. P2 15:55Foerster: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Trouba, Fabbri, McTavish, Zellweger, Gauthier · PHI Sanheim, Cates, York, Brink, Foerster

  48. P2 16:42Shot by Strome, saved by Ersson5v4
  49. P2 17:17Shot by McTavish, saved by Ersson5v4
  50. P2 18:18Shot by Couturier, saved by Dostal
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 3:02Shot by Trouba, saved by Ersson
  54. P3 4:20Shot by McTavish, saved by Ersson
  55. P3 4:30Shot by Fabbri, saved by Ersson
  56. P3 4:32Shot by Gauthier, saved by Ersson
  57. P3 5:57Goal by Frost (Laughton)+32 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Killorn, Trouba, Leason, Zellweger, Carlsson · PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Frost, Farabee, York

  58. P3 7:42Shot by Brink, saved by Dostal
  59. P3 10:08Shot by Foerster, saved by Dostal
  60. P3 10:42Shot by Seeler, saved by Dostal
  61. P3 11:03Shot by Trouba, saved by Ersson
  62. P3 13:33Shot by Couturier, saved by Dostal
  63. P3 13:38Helleson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Gudas, Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Helleson · PHI Couturier, Sanheim, Konecny, Tippett, Zamula

  64. P3 15:24Shot by Gudas, saved by Ersson4v5
  65. P3 15:30Farabee: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ANA Dumoulin, Trouba, Vatrano, Terry · PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Poehling, Farabee, York

  66. P3 16:25Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ersson5v4
  67. P3 16:37Shot by Carlsson, saved by Ersson6v4
  68. P3 17:40Goal by Farabee, unassisted6v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Killorn, Strome, Vatrano, Terry, Zellweger, Carlsson · PHI Seeler, Ristolainen, Konecny, Tippett, Farabee

  69. P3 18:32Shot by LaCombe, saved by Ersson6v5
  70. P3 18:54Shot by Vatrano, saved by Ersson6v5
  71. P3 18:55Shot by McTavish, saved by Ersson6v5
  72. P3 18:57Vatrano: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: ANA Strome, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe, McTavish, Carlsson · PHI Couturier, Laughton, Sanheim, Konecny, York

  73. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  74. P3 0:00Final4v5