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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 29, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Buffalo Sabres 4, St. Louis Blues 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 87% of the time.

STL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zucker–Tuch–ThompsonCozens–Quinn–PeterkaKrebs–Kulich–BensonLafferty–Malenstyn–McLeodZucker–Cozens–PeterkaTuch–Cozens–QuinnDahlin–ByramSamuelsson–PowerClifton–BrysonByram–PowerBryson–DahlinSamuelsson–Byram
Schenn–Kyrou–Holloway2:430.00–0.003:060.43–0.001:190.03–0.011:000.13–0.000:350.03–0.003:130.18–0.002:590.25–0.002:160.28–0.000:350.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Sundqvist–Neighbours–Bolduc0:520.17–0.004:090.28–0.201:190.00–0.101:580.00–0.203:130.45–0.001:250.00–0.10
Buchnevich–Thomas–Texier4:140.18–0.000:520.00–0.210:550.00–0.053:080.09–0.251:200.07–0.001:450.02–0.000:310.00–0.00
Saad–Walker–Toropchenko1:010.00–0.061:150.00–0.002:170.08–0.001:050.00–0.002:090.08–0.001:010.00–0.00
Saad–Buchnevich–Thomas0:300.03–0.002:260.10–0.030:550.01–0.000:320.00–0.002:500.04–0.030:550.10–0.001:080.03–0.00
Walker–Texier–Toropchenko1:450.00–0.170:370.21–0.001:540.00–0.05
Fowler–Parayko5:480.16–0.001:490.00–0.002:500.23–0.062:060.33–0.000:350.03–0.004:250.45–0.074:420.25–0.003:160.05–0.000:520.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Faulk–Broberg3:290.17–0.003:490.43–0.030:380.08–0.001:350.00–0.000:450.00–0.012:550.00–0.034:360.52–0.002:140.16–0.000:380.00–0.02
Suter–Tucker1:490.02–0.003:390.00–0.160:440.00–0.103:160.02–0.180:520.00–0.002:330.00–0.100:310.00–0.01
Suter–Faulk1:360.00–0.052:040.03–0.050:450.00–0.00
Suter–Parayko0:350.00–0.060:380.00–0.201:070.01–0.200:330.00–0.06
Faulk–Fowler
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTexier FThomas FBuchnevich FNeighbours FSundqvist FBolduc FWalker FToropchenko FSaad FHolloway FKyrou FSchenn FFowler DParayko DBroberg DFaulk DTucker DSuter DBinnington GZucker FThompson FTuch FBenson FKrebs FKulich FPeterka FCozens FQuinn FMcLeod FLafferty FMalenstyn FByram DDahlin DSamuelsson DPower DBryson DClifton DLuukkonen G
STLBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Bowen ByramBUF3224:450:461:4219
Cam FowlerSTL2823:420:511:4362
Rasmus DahlinBUF3023:380:472:13212
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2423:190:582:4216
Robert ThomasSTL2423:170:582:4282
Justin FaulkSTL2723:010:511:5052
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2322:350:592:0192
Colton ParaykoSTL2822:240:481:0643
Jordan KyrouSTL2219:500:542:5170
Alex TuchBUF2419:290:492:0617
Tage ThompsonBUF2219:180:532:1014
Brayden SchennSTL2418:430:472:5161
Owen PowerBUF2418:430:471:3314
Dylan HollowaySTL2218:380:511:3570
Jason ZuckerBUF2118:130:521:1633
Philip BrobergSTL2115:330:441:3642
Ryan SuterSTL2315:250:401:0842
JJ PeterkaBUF2115:170:441:4052
Ryan McLeodBUF1715:030:531:4706
Jack QuinnBUF2114:480:421:2542
Brandon SaadSTL2114:200:411:1953
Connor CliftonBUF1914:140:451:1011
Jake NeighboursSTL1914:120:452:4471
Dylan CozensBUF2213:550:381:0925
Oskar SundqvistSTL2013:250:401:0860
Zach BensonBUF2112:560:371:0525
Alexandre TexierSTL1612:420:481:3820
Jiri KulichBUF2012:280:371:0925
Jacob BrysonBUF1712:140:431:1911
Peyton KrebsBUF2111:440:341:1026
Beck MalenstynBUF1411:380:501:1804
Zachary BolducSTL1611:190:421:0860
Nathan WalkerSTL1610:490:411:1612
Sam LaffertyBUF1310:340:491:3503
Tyler TuckerSTL149:530:421:2400
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL169:470:371:0513