Tue, Dec 31, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
New York Islanders 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.
49%
10%
8%
33%
TOR winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:07 | 0.05 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:03 | 0.17 | 47.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.04 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.03 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.02 | 71.6% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:30 | 0.37 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:43 | 0.70 | 63.8% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.25 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:54 | 0.14 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:37 | 0.28 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:19 | 0.13 | 89.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.11 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.13 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:05 | 0.03 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.20 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:20 | 0.03 | 10.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.00 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:16 | 0.01 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 2.36 | +0.4 | 58:52 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:39 | 0.02 | 63.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:26 | 0.19 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 21:27 | 0.30 | 63.1% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:23 | 0.23 | 42.5% | +3.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.99 | 48.1% | +3.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 20:12 | 0.45 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.07 | 77.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.03 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:04 | 0.04 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.30 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.22 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.11 | 67.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.14 | 59.5% | +19.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:28 | 0.07 | 59.5% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 70.0% | +19.6 |
| W | 31 | 30 | 1 | .968 | 2.68 | +1.7 | 60:00 |