Thu, Jan 2, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Minnesota Wild 4, Washington Capitals 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 60% of the time.
31%
9%
8%
52%
WSH winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31:29 | 0.11 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:15 | 0.03 | 44.9% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:28 | 0.22 | 36.5% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.12 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 20:10 | 0.51 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.60 | 52.8% | +30.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.07 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:29 | 0.04 | 58.5% | +12.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:01 | 0.18 | 48.4% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:23 | 0.48 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.01 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:58 | 0.43 | 67.7% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:10 | 0.08 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.16 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 86.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:49 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:33 | 0.20 | 62.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.64 | −0.4 | 64:39 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24:49 | 0.18 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.16 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:53 | 0.49 | 90.3% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.03 | 46.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:50 | 0.43 | 89.5% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:10 | 0.25 | 35.5% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:49 | 0.06 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:35 | 0.37 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.14 | 24.6% | +25.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.06 | 58.4% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.18 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:01 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.03 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:05 | 0.12 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:20 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:58 | 0.11 | 46.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.24 | +0.2 | 64:45 |