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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2025·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Detroit Red Wings 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 4

Away

Detroit Red Wings

5

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

CBJ winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:12Shot by Veleno, saved by Merzlikins
  3. P1 0:47Veleno: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Werenski, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov · DET Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Veleno, Seider

  4. P1 0:55Shot by Werenski, saved by Talbot5v4
  5. P1 2:42Goal by van Riemsdyk (Sillinger, Provorov)5v4+10 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, Provorov, Sillinger, Mateychuk, Fantilli · DET Petry, Holl, Compher, Kasper

  6. P1 6:50Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Merzlikins
  7. P1 6:52Shot by Copp, saved by Merzlikins
  8. P1 6:55Goal by Kane (Copp, DeBrincat)+11 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, Severson, Aston-Reese, Christiansen, Fantilli · DET Petry, Kane, Copp, DeBrincat, Edvinsson

  9. P1 6:59Shot by Copp, saved by Merzlikins
  10. P1 7:59Shot by Larkin, saved by Merzlikins
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Christiansen, saved by Talbot
  12. P1 10:15Shot by Holl, saved by Merzlikins
  13. P1 12:05Voronkov: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Provorov, Pyyhtia, Johnson, Mateychuk · DET Petry, Kane, Tarasenko, Compher, Berggren, Edvinsson

  14. P1 12:26Shot by Kane, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  15. P1 13:21Shot by Berggren, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  16. P1 14:39Goal by Gustafsson (Holl)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, van Riemsdyk, Severson, Aston-Reese, Fantilli · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Motte, Rasmussen, Kasper

  17. P1 15:16Shot by Monahan, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 15:21Shot by Marchenko, saved by Talbot
  19. P1 15:54Shot by Compher, saved by Merzlikins
  20. P1 16:45Shot by Sillinger, saved by Talbot
  21. P1 16:49Shot by Werenski, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 17:02Kuraly: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Kuraly, Monahan, Werenski, Fabbro, Pyyhtia · DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, Copp, DeBrincat

  23. P1 17:09Goal by DeBrincat (Seider, Larkin)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Monahan, Provorov, Aston-Reese · DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Merzlikins
  27. P2 2:32Shot by Christiansen, saved by Talbot
  28. P2 6:03Shot by Kasper, saved by Merzlikins
  29. P2 9:19Shot by Kane, saved by Merzlikins
  30. P2 9:45Shot by Seider, saved by Merzlikins
  31. P2 11:09Goal by Werenski, unassisted+16 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, Severson, Werenski, Aston-Reese, Fantilli · DET Chiarot, Motte, Rasmussen, Seider, Kasper

  32. P2 11:38Shot by Fantilli, saved by Talbot
  33. P2 12:20Shot by Johnson, saved by Talbot
  34. P2 16:07Shot by Motte, saved by Merzlikins
  35. P2 17:37Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Merzlikins
  36. P2 18:40Goal by Monahan (van Riemsdyk, Werenski)+27 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, Monahan, Werenski, Aston-Reese, Mateychuk · DET Chiarot, Tarasenko, Larkin, Veleno, Seider

  37. P2 0:00Period end
  38. P3 0:00Period start
  39. P3 0:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Merzlikins
  40. P3 0:56Shot by Mateychuk, saved by Talbot
  41. P3 3:54Shot by Petry, saved by Merzlikins
  42. P3 3:58Voronkov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Provorov, Marchenko, Voronkov, Mateychuk · DET Petry, Larkin, Veleno, Raymond, Edvinsson

  43. P3 4:10Shot by Kane, saved by Merzlikins4v5
  44. P3 4:54Goal by Larkin (DeBrincat, Kane)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Johnson, Provorov, Pyyhtia, Sillinger · DET Kane, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  45. P3 5:04Shot by Marchenko, saved by Talbot
  46. P3 5:51Shot by Werenski, saved by Talbot
  47. P3 5:53Shot by Voronkov, saved by Talbot
  48. P3 8:05Shot by Werenski, saved by Talbot
  49. P3 8:09Shot by Werenski, saved by Talbot
  50. P3 9:15Shot by Compher, saved by Merzlikins
  51. P3 10:29Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Merzlikins
  52. P3 10:30Shot by Motte, saved by Merzlikins
  53. P3 10:53Shot by Werenski, saved by Talbot
  54. P3 13:07Shot by Pyyhtia, saved by Talbot
  55. P3 15:43Shot by Werenski, saved by Talbot
  56. P3 16:19Shot by Sillinger, saved by Talbot
  57. P3 17:18Shot by Fantilli, saved by Talbot
  58. P3 17:19Goal by van Riemsdyk (Fantilli, Werenski)+54 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, Werenski, Fabbro, Aston-Reese, Fantilli · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Motte, Rasmussen, Kasper

  59. P3 17:19Berggren: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: CBJ van Riemsdyk, Werenski, Fabbro, Aston-Reese, Fantilli · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Motte, Rasmussen, Kasper

  60. P3 17:44Shot by Voronkov, saved by Talbot5v4
  61. P3 19:24Goal by Berggren (Motte, Chiarot)+52 pts WP

    On ice: CBJ Provorov, Olivier, Aston-Reese, Sillinger, Mateychuk · DET Chiarot, Motte, Rasmussen, Berggren, Seider

  62. P3 0:00Voronkov: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Johnson, Fantilli · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Veleno, Seider, Raymond

  63. P3 0:00Werenski: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CBJ Monahan, Werenski, Marchenko, Voronkov, Johnson, Fantilli · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Veleno, Seider, Raymond

  64. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  65. P3 0:00Final4v5