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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Islanders 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.

NYI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:16Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:21Shot by Myers, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 2:50Shot by Dobson, saved by Woll
  5. P1 3:23Shot by Lee, saved by Woll
  6. P1 4:42Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 4:53Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 6:03Shot by Lorentz, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 6:22Shot by Palmieri, saved by Woll
  10. P1 8:34Shot by Fasching, saved by Woll
  11. P1 9:17Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 9:38Shot by Nelson, saved by Woll
  13. P1 10:01Shot by Pelech, saved by Woll
  14. P1 11:17Shot by Robertson, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 12:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 12:19Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 13:57Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll
  18. P1 15:24Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll
  19. P1 17:06Cizikas: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Duclair, Horvat, Pulock · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Nylander, Kampf, Knies

  20. P1 19:11Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 19:16Shot by Marner, saved by Sorokin
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:34Shot by Kampf, saved by Sorokin
  25. P2 0:48Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 1:27Shot by Pelech, saved by Woll
  27. P2 2:45Shot by Benoit, saved by Sorokin
  28. P2 2:59Shot by Mayfield, saved by Woll
  29. P2 5:39Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Sorokin
  30. P2 6:11Shot by Knies, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 9:04Shot by Pulock, saved by Woll
  32. P2 9:48Shot by Romanov, saved by Woll
  33. P2 9:57Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 10:02Shot by McMann, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 10:05Shot by Domi, saved by Sorokin
  36. P2 10:43Goal by McMann (Robertson)+24 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Mayfield, Duclair, Horvat, Romanov · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  37. P2 11:21Shot by Knies, saved by Sorokin
  38. P2 11:52Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Sorokin
  39. P2 12:44Domi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Mayfield, Fasching, Engvall, Dobson, MacLean · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  40. P2 13:42Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll5v4
  41. P2 14:25Robertson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pageau, Pulock, Tsyplakov · TOR Lorentz, Myers, Benoit, Knies

  42. P2 14:41Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll5v3
  43. P2 14:45Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll5v4
  44. P2 15:42Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll5v4
  45. P2 16:33Shot by Pelech, saved by Woll
  46. P2 17:55Shot by Pelech, saved by Woll
  47. P2 18:15Goal by Mayfield (Barzal, Pelech)+27 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech, Barzal · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Marner

  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 1:40Shot by Domi, saved by Sorokin
  51. P3 2:38Shot by Engvall, saved by Woll
  52. P3 2:48Shot by Fasching, saved by Woll
  53. P3 4:59Shot by Domi, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 6:42Shot by Dewar, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 7:09Shot by Palmieri, saved by Woll
  56. P3 7:55Shot by Kampf, saved by Sorokin
  57. P3 8:52Shot by Knies, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 10:18McMann: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Nelson, Pelech, Pulock, Tsyplakov · TOR McCabe, Domi, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  59. P3 10:46Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll5v4
  60. P3 11:45Shot by Dobson, saved by Woll5v4
  61. P3 13:14Shot by Nelson, saved by Woll
  62. P3 13:16Shot by Romanov, saved by Woll
  63. P3 14:14Shot by Lee, saved by Woll
  64. P3 14:47Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 14:56Shot by Pageau, saved by Woll
  66. P3 15:13Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll
  67. P3 15:19Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Duclair, Horvat, Pulock · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Myers, Knies

  68. P3 16:34Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Sorokin4v5
  69. P3 17:01Goal by McMann (Ekman-Larsson, Domi)4v5+44 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Pageau, Mayfield, Horvat, Pulock · TOR Pacioretty, Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Marner, McMann

  70. P3 17:39Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  71. P3 18:46Shot by Barzal, saved by Woll6v5
  72. P3 18:56Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll6v5
  73. P3 19:02Shot by Dobson, saved by Woll6v5
  74. P3 19:35Shot by Horvat, saved by Woll6v5
  75. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  76. P3 0:00Final6v5