Thu, Jan 2, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Islanders 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.
53%
9%
30%
NYI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:43 | 0.30 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:34 | 0.03 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:33 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:16 | 0.12 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.38 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.15 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:35 | 0.44 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.10 | 43.3% | +44.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.02 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:23 | 0.40 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 15:01 | 0.36 | 54.3% | +67.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.05 | 47.9% | +44.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.17 | 56.8% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:24 | 0.01 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:30 | 0.20 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:11 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 3.43 | +2.4 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:22 | 0.17 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.03 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 22:03 | 0.55 | 47.7% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 21:33 | 1.02 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:15 | 0.33 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.11 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.26 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.11 | 47.7% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:39 | 0.06 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.07 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:48 | 0.06 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.13 | 62.8% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:20 | 0.07 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.08 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:13 | 0.22 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.16 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:07 | 0.00 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:03 | 0.00 | 59.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.74 | +0.7 | 58:07 |