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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 2, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Islanders 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 62% of the time.

NYI winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nylander–Kampf–KniesPacioretty–Tavares–MarnerDomi–Robertson–McMannReaves–Lorentz–DewarTavares–Nylander–MarnerDomi–Marner–McMannKampf–Robertson–McMannTanev–McCabeRielly–MyersEkman-Larsson–BenoitEkman-Larsson–RiellyRielly–McCabeEkman-Larsson–McCabe
Lee–Pageau–Barzal8:360.10–0.361:380.34–0.384:320.34–0.383:560.10–0.242:040.01–0.050:320.00–0.00
Palmieri–Nelson–Tsyplakov2:360.03–0.183:180.02–0.011:180.17–0.113:260.12–0.111:530.00–0.371:580.06–0.020:540.02–0.00
Cizikas–Duclair–Horvat0:510.10–0.004:030.12–0.132:410.00–0.281:270.00–0.003:520.06–0.183:030.21–0.22
Fasching–Engvall–MacLean1:390.09–0.092:080.13–0.100:360.00–0.001:530.16–0.101:190.00–0.000:530.06–0.070:400.00–0.00
Cizikas–Duclair–Barzal0:340.00–0.00
Pelech–Pulock1:280.10–0.005:410.04–0.251:540.02–0.000:460.00–0.110:330.00–0.003:300.06–0.145:310.20–0.431:580.00–0.010:470.00–0.001:030.02–0.00
Dobson–Romanov5:550.11–0.460:540.00–0.121:310.02–0.100:440.00–0.004:570.02–0.112:580.00–0.222:570.18–0.251:190.00–0.05
Mayfield–George1:180.34–0.383:540.00–0.140:430.06–0.001:480.40–0.381:190.00–0.052:250.00–0.00
Mayfield–Dobson1:160.06–0.010:350.00–0.001:030.12–0.01
Mayfield–Romanov0:500.21–0.101:080.21–0.00
Mayfield–Pelech0:360.00–0.000:430.11–0.000:430.00–0.00
Dobson–George0:390.00–0.020:370.00–0.000:500.00–0.02
Mayfield–Pulock0:420.04–0.000:360.00–0.00
Pulock–Romanov0:370.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Pulock–Dobson0:480.01–0.010:320.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBarzal FLee FPageau FTsyplakov FPalmieri FNelson FDuclair FHorvat FCizikas FFasching FMacLean FEngvall FDobson DRomanov DPulock DPelech DMayfield DGeorge DSorokin GKnies FKampf FNylander FMarner FTavares FPacioretty FDomi FMcMann FRobertson FDewar FLorentz FReaves FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DMyers DBenoit DEkman-Larsson DWoll G
NYITORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Noah DobsonNYI2825:220:542:5923
Mitch MarnerTOR2323:431:022:1077
Morgan RiellyTOR2523:340:572:0832
Ryan PulockNYI2922:400:471:5374
Mathew BarzalNYI2222:031:002:1253
Bo HorvatNYI2321:330:562:0543
Jake McCabeTOR3221:330:401:2757
Anders LeeNYI2220:150:552:2663
Alexander RomanovNYI2820:070:431:2424
Brock NelsonNYI2419:590:501:5332
Chris TanevTOR3219:280:371:2748
Adam PelechNYI2619:260:451:1942
William NylanderTOR2019:160:582:2822
John TavaresTOR2218:570:521:3064
David KampfTOR2318:500:492:0324
Matthew KniesTOR2318:350:482:0943
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2418:250:462:0451
Philippe MyersTOR2417:430:441:4113
Anthony DuclairNYI2217:390:481:5335
Kyle PalmieriNYI2216:500:461:3434
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2216:480:461:0934
Scott MayfieldNYI2216:280:451:2104
Max PaciorettyTOR1916:230:521:4243
Simon BenoitTOR2315:340:411:2142
Maxim TsyplakovNYI2015:200:461:2533
Bobby McMannTOR1915:010:471:2860
Max DomiTOR1914:260:461:1150
Nick RobertsonTOR1812:270:421:1170
Casey CizikasNYI1712:090:431:1703
Hudson FaschingNYI139:130:431:2313
Connor DewarTOR148:240:361:0603
Pierre EngvallNYI148:090:351:1112
Isaiah GeorgeNYI118:070:441:1304
Steven LorentzTOR126:300:331:0901
Kyle MacLeanNYI126:030:300:4912
Ryan ReavesTOR105:110:311:0101