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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 9, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 6

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Carolina Hurricanes

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 82% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Jarvis, saved by Woll
  3. P1 1:59Goal by Robertson (Domi, Lorentz)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Necas, Walker, Robinson, Kotkaniemi, Smith · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Domi, Lorentz, Myers, Robertson

  4. P1 2:26Shot by Drury, saved by Woll
  5. P1 2:37Shot by Staal, saved by Woll
  6. P1 3:59Shot by Myers, saved by Kochetkov
  7. P1 6:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov
  8. P1 7:29Goal by Nylander, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Aho, Roslovic, Chatfield, Jarvis · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Timmins, Benoit, McMann

  9. P1 7:48Shot by Timmins, saved by Kochetkov
  10. P1 8:29Shot by Burns, saved by Woll
  11. P1 8:39Shot by Kampf, saved by Kochetkov
  12. P1 9:20Shot by Matthews, saved by Kochetkov
  13. P1 10:00Shot by Timmins, saved by Kochetkov
  14. P1 10:20Shot by Jaaska, saved by Woll
  15. P1 11:47Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov
  16. P1 12:18Shot by Roslovic, saved by Woll
  17. P1 13:24Shot by Robertson, saved by Kochetkov
  18. P1 13:38Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  19. P1 13:56Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  20. P1 13:58Goal by Robinson (Smith, Necas)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Necas, Walker, Robinson, Kotkaniemi, Smith · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Myers, Matthews, Robertson

  21. P1 14:15Goal by Staal (Svechnikov, Martinook)+18 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Svechnikov · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  22. P1 15:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov
  23. P1 15:57Shot by Robertson, saved by Kochetkov
  24. P1 16:40Rielly: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Robinson, Kotkaniemi, Svechnikov · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Domi, Lorentz, Robertson

  25. P1 17:02Shot by Aho, saved by Woll5v4
  26. P1 19:30Shot by McMann, saved by Kochetkov
  27. P1 19:58Shot by Robinson, saved by Woll
  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:19Burns: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Svechnikov · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Myers, Matthews, Knies

  31. P2 0:35Goal by Staal (Martinook, Slavin)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  32. P2 1:11Goal by Matthews (Knies, Marner)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Chatfield · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  33. P2 3:24Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov
  34. P2 4:58Goal by Blake (Jaaska, Orlov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Chatfield, Drury, Blake, Jaaska · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  35. P2 6:35McMann: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CAR Orlov, Aho, Roslovic, Chatfield, Necas, Jarvis · TOR Tavares, Tanev, Rielly, Dewar, McMann

  36. P2 7:12Shot by Aho, saved by Woll5v4
  37. P2 9:08Shot by Drury, saved by Woll
  38. P2 10:03Shot by Lorentz, saved by Kochetkov
  39. P2 11:20Shot by Slavin, saved by Woll
  40. P2 11:48Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  41. P2 12:17Shot by Holmberg, saved by Kochetkov
  42. P2 12:20Shot by Myers, saved by Kochetkov
  43. P2 12:38Matthews: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Martinook, Walker, Svechnikov, Smith · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Myers, Matthews, Knies

  44. P2 13:47Shot by Aho, saved by Woll5v4
  45. P2 15:02Shot by Robinson, saved by Woll
  46. P2 15:11Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  47. P2 16:05Shot by Robinson, saved by Woll
  48. P2 16:06Shot by Robinson, saved by Woll
  49. P2 16:48Shot by Aho, saved by Woll
  50. P2 17:57Chatfield: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CAR Staal, Orlov, Martinook, Chatfield, Svechnikov · TOR Marner, Matthews, Timmins, Benoit, Knies

  51. P2 18:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  52. P2 18:21Shot by Marner, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  53. P2 18:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov4v5
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:20Goal by Staal (Burns, Martinook)+14 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Svechnikov · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  57. P3 1:04Shot by Robertson, saved by Kochetkov
  58. P3 2:30Shot by Walker, saved by Woll
  59. P3 3:25Shot by Knies, saved by Kochetkov
  60. P3 4:40Shot by Lorentz, saved by Kochetkov
  61. P3 5:01Shot by Knies, saved by Kochetkov
  62. P3 5:33Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov
  63. P3 7:00Shot by Holmberg, saved by Kochetkov
  64. P3 7:02Shot by Dewar, saved by Kochetkov
  65. P3 7:34Shot by Blake, saved by Woll
  66. P3 7:37Shot by Smith, saved by Woll
  67. P3 9:13Shot by Tavares, saved by Kochetkov
  68. P3 10:49Shot by Robertson, saved by Kochetkov
  69. P3 11:25Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Woll
  70. P3 11:45Shot by Roslovic, saved by Woll
  71. P3 12:30Shot by Marner, saved by Kochetkov
  72. P3 15:24Shot by Kotkaniemi, saved by Woll
  73. P3 15:40Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  74. P3 16:23Goal by Jarvis, unassisted5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Roslovic, Jarvis · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  75. P3 18:21Shot by Necas, saved by Woll
  76. P3 19:52Shot by Holmberg, saved by Kochetkov
  77. P3 19:58Shot by Rielly, saved by Kochetkov
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final