Thu, Jan 9, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 82% of the time.
76%
13%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:16 | 0.18 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.01 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −6 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.43 | 48.3% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:59 | 0.25 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:43 | 0.01 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:20 | 0.39 | 33.2% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:44 | 0.09 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.04 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.06 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −6 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.29 | 20.3% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.01 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −5 | 2 | 15:05 | 0.07 | 21.0% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 0.36 | 32.3% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 44.6% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.19 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:04 | 0.06 | 39.2% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:36 | 0.20 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 28 | 5 | .848 | 4.14 | −0.9 | 59:45 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 23:06 | 0.04 | 51.9% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:20 | 1.23 | 23.0% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:20 | 0.08 | 66.6% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.08 | 50.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:58 | 0.41 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.05 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:35 | 0.10 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.29 | 68.3% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.19 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:14 | 0.17 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.00 | 49.3% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:44 | 0.21 | 92.1% | +16.8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 13:01 | 0.53 | 68.0% | +47.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:59 | 0.84 | 75.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.35 | 90.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 12:22 | 0.16 | 63.6% | +47.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.03 | 55.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:52 | 0.18 | 91.4% | +16.8 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.64 | −0.4 | 59:37 |