Tue, Jan 21, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Washington Capitals 3, Edmonton Oilers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 73% of the time.
65%
20%
EDM winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dowd–Mangiapane–Duhaime | Wilson–Dubois–Protas | Ovechkin–Strome–McMichael | Eller–Raddysh–Frank | Eller–Raddysh–Protas | Roy–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | Carlson–Sandin | Carlson–Chychrun | van Riemsdyk–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | Roy–Sandin | Carlson–Fehérváry | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nugent-Hopkins–Brown–Janmark | 1:150.28–0.00 | 1:070.01–0.00 | 1:080.41–0.12 | 3:410.26–0.13 | 3:340.27–0.00 | 2:340.43–0.12 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.10 | 1:040.00–0.02 | ||||
| Draisaitl–Arvidsson–Podkolzin | 2:590.27–0.09 | 1:240.31–0.16 | 1:550.68–0.00 | 1:400.12–0.09 | 1:260.21–0.00 | 2:270.78–0.16 | 0:360.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Henrique–Skinner–Hyman | 1:580.03–0.19 | 2:320.73–0.05 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:460.13–0.00 | 1:320.60–0.16 | 3:290.03–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Perry–Hyman–Draisaitl | 1:250.00–0.04 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.04 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.14 | ||||||||
| Perry–Kapanen–Philp | 1:090.00–0.02 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 1:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Perry–Draisaitl–Kapanen | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.01 | 0:530.00–0.03 | |||||||||
| Henrique–Skinner–Arvidsson | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.03 | |||||||||||
| Nugent-Hopkins–Arvidsson–Podkolzin | 1:120.03–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kapanen–Philp–Podkolzin | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Nugent-Hopkins–Kapanen–Podkolzin | 0:540.09–0.00 | 0:360.09–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Skinner–Hyman–Draisaitl | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Ekholm–Bouchard | 5:160.22–0.29 | 2:210.26–0.05 | 0:390.06–0.00 | 2:370.00–0.10 | 3:550.07–0.15 | 3:480.24–0.16 | 1:260.00–0.03 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:480.09–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.10 | 0:420.13–0.00 | ||
| Kulak–Nurse | 0:480.00–0.03 | 3:370.14–0.21 | 2:340.07–0.01 | 1:200.02–0.02 | 1:170.03–0.01 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 3:170.19–0.19 | 2:130.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.02 | ||||
| Nurse–Stecher | 2:210.40–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:460.23–0.00 | 2:150.35–0.00 | 0:450.28–0.00 | 2:050.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Kulak–Emberson | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.02 | 3:220.59–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:520.58–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Stecher–Emberson | 1:360.73–0.00 | 0:440.11–0.12 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 1:170.13–0.00 | 1:590.71–0.12 | 1:190.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Ekholm–Nurse | 1:080.00–0.15 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.15 | ||||||||||
| Nurse–Bouchard | 0:420.02–0.00 | 0:580.05–0.14 | 0:490.05–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Kulak–Bouchard | 0:560.00–0.04 | 0:570.00–0.04 | 0:350.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
EDMWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 22 | 23:41 | 1:05 | 3:37 | 6 | 2 |
 Evan BouchardEDM | 21 | 23:07 | 1:06 | 2:34 | 1 | 1 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 25 | 22:59 | 0:55 | 1:40 | 6 | 1 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 26 | 22:54 | 0:53 | 2:01 | 3 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 24 | 22:43 | 0:57 | 3:06 | 2 | 7 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 22 | 21:34 | 0:59 | 2:01 | 0 | 5 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 21 | 21:26 | 1:01 | 2:01 | 3 | 4 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 20 | 20:42 | 1:02 | 2:10 | 4 | 1 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 22 | 20:00 | 0:55 | 2:01 | 0 | 3 |
 Brett KulakEDM | 23 | 19:48 | 0:52 | 1:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 21 | 19:42 | 0:56 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 22 | 18:28 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 2 | 8 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 17:56 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 0 | 7 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 0 | 5 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 23 | 17:34 | 0:46 | 1:15 | 1 | 6 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 21 | 17:30 | 0:50 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 16:50 | 0:53 | 2:19 | 5 | 0 |
 Viktor ArvidssonEDM | 19 | 16:40 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 4 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 23 | 16:27 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 1 | 6 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 19 | 15:51 | 0:50 | 2:04 | 0 | 3 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 18 | 15:46 | 0:53 | 2:21 | 5 | 0 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 22 | 15:30 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 0 | 7 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 16 | 14:49 | 0:56 | 1:18 | 1 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 21 | 14:15 | 0:41 | 1:12 | 3 | 0 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 19 | 14:05 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 0 | 3 |
 Corey PerryEDM | 17 | 14:02 | 0:50 | 2:01 | 7 | 1 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 19 | 14:01 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 0 | 1 |
 Troy StecherEDM | 17 | 13:59 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 1 | 0 |
 Connor BrownEDM | 16 | 13:14 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 17 | 13:13 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 2 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerEDM | 18 | 12:04 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 1 | 0 |
 Kasperi KapanenEDM | 15 | 10:08 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 5 | 0 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 12 | 10:03 | 0:50 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 12 | 8:52 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 0 | 3 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 9 | 7:35 | 0:51 | 1:22 | 0 | 2 |
 Noah PhilpEDM | 9 | 5:15 | 0:35 | 1:03 | 3 | 0 |