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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 23, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Montréal Canadiens 2, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 85% of the time.

DET winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:35Shot by Compher, saved by Montembeault
  3. P1 2:06Shot by Savard, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 2:24Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Montembeault
  5. P1 3:17Shot by Compher, saved by Montembeault
  6. P1 4:08Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault
  7. P1 5:46Shot by Newhook, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 6:32Shot by Holl, saved by Montembeault
  9. P1 7:47Shot by Compher, saved by Montembeault
  10. P1 8:39Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Montembeault
  11. P1 9:58Shot by Raymond, saved by Montembeault
  12. P1 11:20Shot by Soderblom, saved by Montembeault
  13. P1 11:22Shot by Soderblom, saved by Montembeault
  14. P1 11:30Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Montembeault
  15. P1 12:19Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault
  16. P1 13:00Goal by Berggren (Larkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, Berggren, Kasper · MTL Matheson, Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský

  17. P1 16:33Shot by Caufield, saved by Talbot
  18. P1 16:35Edvinsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Veleno, Berggren, Johansson, Edvinsson · MTL Carrier, Laine, Suzuki, Caufield, Slafkovský

  19. P1 17:28Shot by Suzuki, saved by Talbot4v5
  20. P1 17:51Dach: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Holl, Copp, Rasmussen, Johansson · MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Dvorak, Dach, Newhook

  21. P1 18:31Shot by Copp, saved by Montembeault4v4
  22. P1 18:59Shot by Seider, saved by Montembeault5v4
  23. P1 19:33Shot by Seider, saved by Montembeault5v4
  24. P1 19:56Goal by DeBrincat (Raymond, Seider)+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · MTL Savard, Armia, Matheson, Evans, Dach

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:13Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Montembeault
  28. P2 2:14Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Montembeault
  29. P2 2:40Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Montembeault
  30. P2 3:10Seider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider, Soderblom · MTL Armia, Evans, Pezzetta, Guhle, Slafkovský

  31. P2 3:22Shot by Laine, saved by Talbot4v5
  32. P2 3:29Shot by Laine, saved by Talbot4v5
  33. P2 4:25Goal by Copp (Edvinsson)4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Copp, Compher · MTL Laine, Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský

  34. P2 5:01Shot by Newhook, saved by Talbot4v5
  35. P2 5:24Shot by Matheson, saved by Talbot
  36. P2 5:29Goal by Dach (Dvorak, Gallagher)+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Rasmussen, Seider, Johansson, Kasper · MTL Gallagher, Matheson, Dvorak, Dach, Guhle

  37. P2 6:13Shot by Carrier, saved by Talbot
  38. P2 6:50Shot by Raymond, saved by Montembeault
  39. P2 7:15Suzuki: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · MTL Anderson, Carrier, Suzuki, Hutson, Slafkovský

  40. P2 7:23Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Montembeault5v4
  41. P2 7:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Montembeault5v4
  42. P2 7:47Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault5v4
  43. P2 7:50Goal by Larkin (Tarasenko, Seider)5v4+6 pts WP

    On ice: DET Tarasenko, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · MTL Savard, Armia, Matheson, Evans

  44. P2 8:16Shot by Soderblom, saved by Montembeault
  45. P2 9:38Shot by Copp, saved by Montembeault
  46. P2 9:41Shot by Johansson, saved by Montembeault
  47. P2 9:57Shot by Suzuki, saved by Talbot
  48. P2 11:06Goal by Guhle (Laine, Dach)+7 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, Raymond, Kasper · MTL Laine, Dach, Newhook, Guhle, Xhekaj

  49. P2 14:25Shot by Caufield, saved by Talbot
  50. P2 14:42Shot by Chiarot, saved by Montembeault
  51. P2 15:40Shot by Newhook, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 17:16Shot by Johansson, saved by Montembeault
  53. P2 17:59Shot by Xhekaj, saved by Talbot
  54. P2 18:57Shot by Berggren, saved by Montembeault
  55. P2 19:34Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Talbot
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:58Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Montembeault
  59. P3 2:18Shot by Caufield, saved by Talbot
  60. P3 2:20Shot by Armia, saved by Talbot
  61. P3 2:30Shot by Matheson, saved by Talbot
  62. P3 3:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault
  63. P3 3:58Shot by Guhle, saved by Talbot
  64. P3 4:51Shot by Caufield, saved by Talbot
  65. P3 5:05Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Montembeault
  66. P3 5:43Shot by Dvorak, saved by Talbot
  67. P3 6:06Shot by Soderblom, saved by Montembeault
  68. P3 7:23Shot by Guhle, saved by Talbot
  69. P3 8:04Shot by Newhook, saved by Talbot
  70. P3 8:41Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault
  71. P3 9:13Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault
  72. P3 9:37Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Montembeault
  73. P3 9:39DeBrincat: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Fischer, Rasmussen, Seider, Soderblom · MTL Savard, Suzuki, Caufield, Xhekaj, Slafkovský

  74. P3 12:17Shot by Evans, saved by Talbot
  75. P3 12:18Shot by Evans, saved by Talbot
  76. P3 13:24Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault
  77. P3 13:25Shot by Kasper, saved by Montembeault
  78. P3 13:50Shot by Raymond, saved by Montembeault
  79. P3 13:51Shot by Compher, saved by Montembeault
  80. P3 14:35Hutson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Veleno, Berggren, Seider · MTL Matheson, Laine, Dach, Newhook, Hutson

  81. P3 15:31Shot by Larkin, saved by Montembeault5v4
  82. P3 16:51Shot by Slafkovský, saved by Talbot
  83. P3 18:11Shot by Newhook, saved by Talbot5v6
  84. P3 18:25Shot by Gallagher, saved by Talbot5v6
  85. P3 18:56Slafkovský: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Raymond, Kasper · MTL Matheson, Laine, Suzuki, Caufield, Hutson, Slafkovský

  86. P3 19:04Shot by Copp, saved by Montembeault5v4
  87. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  88. P3 0:00Final5v4