Tue, Jan 28, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Dallas Stars 4, Vegas Golden Knights 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 64% of the time.
28%
8%
56%
VGK winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:20 | 0.10 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:13 | 0.33 | 61.6% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 73.3% | +53.9 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 20:33 | 0.89 | 72.3% | +97.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:50 | 0.04 | 64.0% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 39.0% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.03 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:01 | 0.74 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 15:54 | 0.23 | 56.9% | +97.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:44 | 0.05 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.29 | 40.1% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.31 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 | 0.05 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.03 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.21 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:27 | 0.18 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7:58 | 0.11 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.75 | −0.2 | 60:20 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 23:25 | 0.36 | 38.6% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.09 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.01 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.17 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 21:31 | 0.44 | 38.9% | +21.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.04 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:34 | 0.00 | 39.6% | +9.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:53 | 0.43 | 66.0% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:34 | 0.16 | 74.3% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:33 | 0.00 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.50 | 54.8% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.14 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:46 | 0.08 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0.08 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:39 | 0.11 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.14 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.60 | −0.4 | 60:20 |