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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 29, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 65% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:58Shot by Robertson, saved by Gustavsson
  3. P1 2:48Shot by Chisholm, saved by Woll
  4. P1 5:54Shot by Marner, saved by Gustavsson
  5. P1 5:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Gustavsson
  6. P1 7:07Goal by Khusnutdinov (Lauko, Shore)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, McCabe, Domi, Nylander, Holmberg · MIN Bogosian, Merrill, Shore, Lauko, Khusnutdinov

  7. P1 8:07Shot by Trenin, saved by Woll
  8. P1 8:26Shot by Robertson, saved by Gustavsson
  9. P1 9:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Gustavsson
  10. P1 9:40Shot by Boldy, saved by Woll
  11. P1 9:56Shot by Middleton, saved by Woll
  12. P1 11:58Shot by Myers, saved by Gustavsson
  13. P1 12:13Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Gustavsson
  14. P1 14:03Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  15. P1 15:30Kampf: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Pacioretty, Ekman-Larsson, Marner, Kampf, Benoit · MIN Bogosian, Spurgeon, Foligno, Zuccarello, Boldy, Rossi

  16. P1 15:35Goal by Spurgeon (Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tanev, McCabe, Marner, Matthews · MIN Spurgeon, Zuccarello, Eriksson Ek, Boldy, Rossi

  17. P1 16:34Shot by Lauko, saved by Woll
  18. P1 18:43Shot by Holmberg, saved by Gustavsson
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:27Shot by Marner, saved by Gustavsson
  22. P2 1:37Shot by Foligno, saved by Woll
  23. P2 2:23Shot by Bogosian, saved by Woll
  24. P2 3:06Shot by Reaves, saved by Gustavsson
  25. P2 3:12Shot by McCabe, saved by Gustavsson
  26. P2 3:44Shot by Faber, saved by Woll
  27. P2 3:55Shot by Middleton, saved by Woll
  28. P2 3:59Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Woll
  29. P2 4:40Hartman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Domi, Nylander, Holmberg · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Chisholm, Rossi

  30. P2 4:43Shot by Middleton, saved by Woll5v4
  31. P2 5:45Shot by Khusnutdinov, saved by Woll5v4
  32. P2 6:10Shot by McMann, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  33. P2 6:30Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Gustavsson5v4
  34. P2 6:46Shot by Hartman, saved by Woll
  35. P2 9:31Shot by Tanev, saved by Gustavsson
  36. P2 13:54Shot by McCabe, saved by Gustavsson
  37. P2 14:07Shot by Hartman, saved by Woll
  38. P2 15:18Shot by Lauko, saved by Woll
  39. P2 16:11Shot by Tanev, saved by Gustavsson
  40. P2 16:23Shot by Boldy, saved by Woll
  41. P2 16:25Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  42. P2 17:44Shot by Lorentz, saved by Gustavsson
  43. P2 18:03Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Gustavsson
  44. P2 19:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Gustavsson
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:19Shot by Boldy, saved by Woll
  48. P3 2:48Shot by Robertson, saved by Gustavsson
  49. P3 3:12Shot by Matthews, saved by Gustavsson
  50. P3 6:37Shot by Middleton, saved by Woll
  51. P3 8:16Goal by Nylander (Holmberg, Domi)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Domi, Nylander, Holmberg · MIN Spurgeon, Foligno, Hartman, Chisholm, Rossi

  52. P3 8:34Shot by McMann, saved by Gustavsson
  53. P3 8:44Shot by McMann, saved by Gustavsson
  54. P3 9:05Shot by Eriksson Ek, saved by Woll
  55. P3 9:38Shot by Domi, saved by Gustavsson
  56. P3 12:18Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Gustavsson
  57. P3 12:27Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Woll
  58. P3 12:58Shot by McMann, saved by Gustavsson
  59. P3 13:15Shot by Minten, saved by Gustavsson
  60. P3 15:23Shot by McMann, saved by Gustavsson
  61. P3 16:29Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Gustavsson
  62. P3 17:03Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Gustavsson
  63. P3 19:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Gustavsson6v5
  64. P3 19:22Shot by Matthews, saved by Gustavsson6v5
  65. P3 19:45Goal by Foligno (Gaudreau)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Holmberg, Minten · MIN Foligno, Gaudreau, Middleton, Trenin, Faber

  66. P3 0:00Period end
  67. P3 0:00Final