Wed, Jan 29, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Minnesota Wild 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
9%
56%
TOR winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:49 | 0.08 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 24:19 | 0.12 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:42 | 0.19 | 60.1% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:29 | 0.22 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:14 | 0.77 | 66.1% | +11.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:18 | 0.03 | 20.4% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:30 | 0.03 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:41 | 0.80 | 37.1% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.00 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.30 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.08 | 26.3% | +3.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:32 | 0.06 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:31 | 0.00 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:00 | 0.21 | 57.6% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:34 | 0.00 | 41.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:16 | 0.33 | 48.6% | +15.4 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.42 | +1.4 | 59:33 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:58 | 0.28 | 67.8% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:38 | 0.10 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 23:31 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:08 | 0.11 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:04 | 0.19 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.04 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:40 | 0.34 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:33 | 0.04 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.19 | 63.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.05 | 50.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:17 | 0.42 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.03 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.06 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:55 | 0.24 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:51 | 0.20 | 91.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:47 | 0.11 | 84.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.82 | −0.2 | 58:12 |