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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 4, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Calgary Flames 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

6

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:50Shot by Knies, saved by Wolf
  3. P1 1:45Shot by McMann, saved by Wolf
  4. P1 1:49Shot by Holmberg, saved by Wolf
  5. P1 1:57Shot by McMann, saved by Wolf
  6. P1 3:02Shot by Klapka, saved by Woll
  7. P1 3:41Tavares: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Bean, Farabee · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander

  8. P1 6:27Shot by Rielly, saved by Wolf
  9. P1 7:47Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Woll
  10. P1 8:07Shot by Bean, saved by Woll
  11. P1 10:10Shot by Weegar, saved by Woll
  12. P1 11:15Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll
  13. P1 12:32Timmins: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Kadri, Coleman, Hanley, Andersson, Coronato · TOR Rielly, Lorentz, Kampf, Benoit, Knies

  14. P1 12:36Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll5v4
  15. P1 12:40McCabe: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Frost, Coronato · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Kampf, Knies

  16. P1 14:13Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Woll5v3
  17. P1 14:16Goal by Coronato (Huberdeau, Kadri)5v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Sharangovich, Coronato · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Tanev, Knies

  18. P1 15:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Wolf
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Rielly, saved by Wolf
  20. P1 18:20Shot by Weegar, saved by Woll
  21. P1 18:53Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Woll
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:02Weegar: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Bean, Farabee · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Domi, Matthews, Knies

  25. P2 1:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf4v5
  26. P2 1:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf4v5
  27. P2 1:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Wolf4v5
  28. P2 2:36Goal by Nylander (Knies, Matthews)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Huberdeau, Rooney, Bean, Pachal · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Nylander, Matthews, McMann, Knies

  29. P2 3:08Pachal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Barrie, Frost, Pospisil, Sharangovich, Pachal · TOR Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit, Robertson, McMann

  30. P2 3:17Goal by Tavares (Matthews, Rielly)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Hanley, Andersson · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Knies

  31. P2 4:20Benoit: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Bean, Farabee · TOR McCabe, Domi, Matthews, Benoit, Knies

  32. P2 5:06Lorentz: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Frost, Coronato · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf

  33. P2 5:58Goal by Sharangovich (Weegar, Kadri)5v3+21 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Sharangovich, Coronato · TOR Tanev, McCabe, Kampf

  34. P2 6:36Shot by Kampf, saved by Wolf5v4
  35. P2 7:05Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll5v4
  36. P2 7:24Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll
  37. P2 7:30Shot by Frost, saved by Woll
  38. P2 9:08Shot by Backlund, saved by Woll
  39. P2 9:12Shot by Klapka, saved by Woll
  40. P2 9:29Lomberg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Barrie, Lomberg, Rooney, Pachal, Klapka · TOR Reaves, Tanev, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf

  41. P2 9:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Wolf4v5
  42. P2 9:51Shot by Knies, saved by Wolf4v5
  43. P2 9:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Wolf4v5
  44. P2 10:08Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf4v5
  45. P2 10:59Shot by Farabee, saved by Woll4v5
  46. P2 12:28Goal by McMann (Lorentz)+25 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Barrie, Huberdeau, Farabee, Pachal · TOR McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, Benoit, McMann

  47. P2 13:35Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Wolf
  48. P2 18:18Goal by Nylander (Pacioretty)+17 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Andersson, Bean, Farabee · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Tanev, Rielly, Nylander

  49. P2 18:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 0:14Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Wolf
  53. P3 1:39Pachal: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Barrie, Frost, Pospisil, Sharangovich, Pachal · TOR Tanev, Timmins, Holmberg, Robertson, McMann

  54. P3 2:03Shot by Backlund, saved by Woll4v5
  55. P3 3:44Shot by Tanev, saved by Wolf
  56. P3 5:41Shot by Matthews, saved by Wolf
  57. P3 5:44Goal by Knies (Matthews)+6 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Andersson, Bean, Frost, Pospisil, Sharangovich · TOR Tanev, Rielly, Domi, Matthews, Knies

  58. P3 6:02Goal by Farabee (Huberdeau, Weegar)+5 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Hanley, Farabee · TOR Pacioretty, Tavares, Tanev, McCabe, Nylander

  59. P3 6:23Shot by Robertson, saved by Wolf
  60. P3 7:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Wolf
  61. P3 8:09Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll
  62. P3 9:21Shot by Andersson, saved by Woll
  63. P3 9:34Shot by Hanley, saved by Woll
  64. P3 13:53Shot by Backlund, saved by Woll
  65. P3 15:04Shot by Nylander, saved by Wolf
  66. P3 16:29Shot by Reaves, saved by Wolf
  67. P3 17:18Shot by Weegar, saved by Woll6v5
  68. P3 18:08Shot by Andersson, saved by Woll6v5
  69. P3 19:03Shot by Kadri, saved by Woll6v5
  70. P3 19:16Goal by Nylander, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Andersson, Farabee, Sharangovich · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Rielly, Nylander, Kampf, McMann

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final