Tue, Feb 4, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Calgary Flames 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.
11%
79%
CGY winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 23:00 | 0.93 | 71.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 22:54 | 0.11 | 89.3% | +20.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:38 | 0.03 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:12 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 21:47 | 1.17 | 71.0% | +42.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:14 | 0.00 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:03 | 0.66 | 35.8% | +20.9 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 17:56 | 1.16 | 32.8% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.09 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 76.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 13:38 | 0.29 | 97.3% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:05 | 0.04 | 21.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 61.3% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.24 | 90.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:50 | 0.21 | 96.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:50 | 0.24 | 62.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.68 | −0.3 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26:12 | 0.08 | 59.3% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 6 | 22:52 | 0.48 | 60.2% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.10 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.54 | 67.7% | +18.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:27 | 0.38 | 55.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:34 | 0.01 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:15 | 0.15 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.13 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.13 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:32 | 0.31 | 56.5% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.26 | 7.0% | +20.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:59 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:53 | 0.10 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:51 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 24 | 5 | .828 | 3.65 | −1.4 | 57:20 |