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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 4, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Toronto Maple Leafs 6, Calgary Flames 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 84% of the time.

CGY winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Matthew KniesLW · #23112+1323:000.9371.0%+21.4
Morgan RiellyD · #44011+3322:540.1189.3%+20.9
Chris TanevD · #8000+1122:380.0362.0%0.0
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95000+1022:120.0071.1%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34033+1321:471.1771.0%+42.3
Jake McCabeD · #220000021:140.0049.5%0.0
John TavaresC · #911010418:030.6635.8%+20.9
William NylanderRW · #88303+1617:561.1632.8%+32.8
David KampfC · #64000+2115:020.0961.3%0.0
Max DomiC · #11000+1014:490.0076.8%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1014:200.0056.2%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74101+2313:380.2997.3%+24.6
Max PaciorettyLW · #670110212:050.0421.6%+16.7
Conor TimminsD · #250000011:470.0071.9%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18011+1011:180.0061.3%+24.6
Pontus HolmbergRW · #290000110:150.2490.8%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000029:500.2196.5%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000017:500.2462.9%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W26233.8852.68−0.360:00

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

MacKenzie WeegarD · #520220326:120.0859.3%+26.1
Nazem KadriC · #91022−1622:520.4860.2%+33.7
Rasmus AnderssonD · #4000−3222:320.1022.7%0.0
Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10022−1221:560.5467.7%+18.1
Matt CoronatoRW · #271010121:270.3855.8%+12.9
Joel HanleyD · #44000+1120:340.0148.0%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #11000−1320:150.1548.6%0.0
Blake ColemanLW · #20000−1019:580.0071.8%0.0
Jake BeanD · #24000−2117:170.1343.4%0.0
Morgan FrostC · #16000−1116:290.138.2%0.0
Joel FarabeeLW · #86101−2215:320.3156.5%+5.3
Tyson BarrieD · #8000−1014:550.0014.0%0.0
Yegor SharangovichC · #17101−2214:040.267.0%+20.8
Brayden PachalD · #94000−1013:460.0012.3%0.0
Martin PospisilC · #76000−1010:250.0013.5%0.0
Kevin RooneyC · #21000006:590.0032.1%0.0
Adam KlapkaRW · #43000025:530.1030.1%0.0
Ryan LombergLW · #70000005:510.0031.0%0.0
Dustin Wolf#32L29245.8283.65−1.457:20