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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 6, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Colorado Avalanche 4, Calgary Flames 2

Away

Colorado Avalanche

4

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 65% of the time.

CGY winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Kelly, saved by Wolf
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Makar, saved by Wolf
  4. P1 1:53Girard: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Rooney, Bean, Farabee, Pachal · COL Wood, Girard, Colton, Drury, Malinski

  5. P1 1:54Shot by Makar, saved by Wolf5v4
  6. P1 2:13Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Blackwood5v4
  7. P1 2:52de Haan: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Frost, Coronato · COL de Haan, Kylington, Kelly, O'Connor

  8. P1 3:22Goal by Huberdeau (Weegar, Coronato)5v3+9 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Sharangovich, Coronato · COL Toews, Makar, O'Connor

  9. P1 3:39Shot by Coleman, saved by Blackwood5v4
  10. P1 3:54Shot by Coleman, saved by Blackwood5v4
  11. P1 5:45Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Wolf
  12. P1 6:42Shot by Klapka, saved by Blackwood
  13. P1 7:23Shot by Kadri, saved by Blackwood
  14. P1 8:24Shot by Makar, saved by Wolf
  15. P1 9:15Shot by Kelly, saved by Wolf
  16. P1 9:22Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Blackwood
  17. P1 9:51Shot by Kadri, saved by Blackwood
  18. P1 10:58Shot by Coronato, saved by Blackwood
  19. P1 12:50Shot by Bean, saved by Blackwood
  20. P1 14:01Drury: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Farabee, Miromanov · COL de Haan, Wood, Kylington, Colton, Drury

  21. P1 14:09Shot by Frost, saved by Blackwood5v4
  22. P1 16:03Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wolf
  23. P1 18:33Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Wolf
  24. P1 19:03Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Wolf
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:20Goal by Makar (MacKinnon, Toews)+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Coleman, Hanley, Andersson, Coronato · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  28. P2 2:05Shot by Lomberg, saved by Blackwood
  29. P2 4:41Shot by Girard, saved by Wolf
  30. P2 4:43Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Wolf
  31. P2 5:34Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon, Necas)+22 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Huberdeau, Weegar, Miromanov, Coronato · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Girard, Necas, Malinski

  32. P2 7:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Blackwood
  33. P2 8:45Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Wolf
  34. P2 9:32Backlund: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Hanley, Andersson, Coronato · COL Girard, Mittelstadt, Necas, Parssinen, Malinski

  35. P2 9:43Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Wolf4v5
  36. P2 10:28Shot by Necas, saved by Wolf4v5
  37. P2 10:53Shot by Necas, saved by Wolf4v5
  38. P2 12:32Shot by Colton, saved by Wolf
  39. P2 12:39Shot by Necas, saved by Wolf
  40. P2 12:59MacKinnon: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Hanley, Andersson, Farabee · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Necas, Makar

  41. P2 13:26Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Blackwood5v4
  42. P2 15:11Wood: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Hanley, Andersson, Sharangovich, Klapka · COL Wood, MacKinnon, Girard, Drury, Malinski

  43. P2 15:11Wood: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Hanley, Andersson, Sharangovich, Klapka · COL Wood, MacKinnon, Girard, Drury, Malinski

  44. P2 15:11Klapka: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Hanley, Andersson, Sharangovich, Klapka · COL Wood, MacKinnon, Girard, Drury, Malinski

  45. P2 16:33Shot by Coleman, saved by Blackwood5v4
  46. P2 17:45Shot by Necas, saved by Wolf
  47. P2 17:49Shot by Makar, saved by Wolf
  48. P2 17:51Shot by Necas, saved by Wolf
  49. P2 17:55Shot by Makar, saved by Wolf
  50. P2 17:59Shot by Necas, saved by Wolf
  51. P2 18:33Frost: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Bean, Frost, Pospisil, Sharangovich, Pachal · COL Drouin, Girard, Colton, Drury, Malinski

  52. P2 18:42Shot by Makar, saved by Wolf4v5
  53. P2 19:42Goal by Necas (MacKinnon, Makar)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Hanley, Andersson · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Necas, Makar

  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:44Shot by Pospisil, saved by Blackwood
  57. P3 2:14Shot by Colton, saved by Wolf
  58. P3 7:29Shot by Kadri, saved by Blackwood
  59. P3 7:33Shot by Weegar, saved by Blackwood
  60. P3 7:47Shot by O'Connor, saved by Wolf
  61. P3 8:16Shot by Kelly, saved by Wolf
  62. P3 9:33Bean: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: CGY Backlund, Coleman, Bean, Pachal, Coronato · COL de Haan, Wood, Kylington, Colton, Drury

  63. P3 9:41Shot by Makar, saved by Wolf4v5
  64. P3 10:51Shot by Drouin, saved by Wolf4v5
  65. P3 10:58Shot by Weegar, saved by Blackwood4v5
  66. P3 11:34Shot by Drury, saved by Wolf
  67. P3 11:43Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Blackwood
  68. P3 12:02Shot by Pospisil, saved by Blackwood
  69. P3 12:08Shot by Pospisil, saved by Blackwood
  70. P3 12:39Shot by Farabee, saved by Blackwood
  71. P3 12:53Goal by Necas (Malinski, Kelly)+3 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Hanley, Andersson, Frost, Farabee, Sharangovich · COL Lehkonen, Necas, Makar, Kelly, Malinski

  72. P3 13:02Shot by Malinski, saved by Wolf
  73. P3 17:00Shot by Bean, saved by Blackwood
  74. P3 17:01Shot by Lomberg, saved by Blackwood
  75. P3 17:26Shot by Pospisil, saved by Blackwood
  76. P3 18:14Goal by Andersson (Pospisil, Kadri)0 pts WP

    On ice: CGY Kadri, Huberdeau, Weegar, Andersson, Pospisil · COL de Haan, Kylington, Kelly, O'Connor, Kiviranta

  77. P3 18:46Shot by Weegar, saved by Blackwood6v5
  78. P3 19:29Shot by Andersson, saved by Blackwood6v5
  79. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  80. P3 0:00Final6v5