Thu, Feb 6, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Colorado Avalanche 4, Calgary Flames 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 65% of the time.
26%
9%
58%
CGY winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 26:43 | 0.48 | 59.0% | +30.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 24:31 | 0.50 | 68.2% | +21.8 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 8 | 24:15 | 0.94 | 71.9% | +40.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 22:47 | 0.32 | 70.5% | +52.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.01 | 71.8% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.08 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.00 | 69.7% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:19 | 0.00 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.20 | 23.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:27 | 0.01 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.15 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.21 | 89.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.20 | 58.7% | +3.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.04 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:28 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:48 | 0.41 | 88.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:47 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.00 | 94.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 27 | 2 | .931 | 2.52 | +0.5 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.15 | 44.9% | +0.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:44 | 0.39 | 34.7% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:01 | 0.05 | 28.5% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:53 | 0.58 | 56.1% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:11 | 0.11 | 30.4% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:25 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.18 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.68 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.02 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:23 | 0.03 | 27.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:09 | 0.20 | 43.3% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.02 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.08 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:17 | 0.04 | 53.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.27 | −0.7 | 58:13 |