Fri, Feb 7, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Colorado Avalanche 5, Edmonton Oilers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 57% of the time.
35%
9%
49%
EDM winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 6 | 29:11 | 0.55 | 54.6% | +47.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 26:30 | 0.09 | 54.6% | +35.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 24:47 | 0.39 | 49.2% | +33.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:54 | 0.35 | 54.1% | +42.2 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 7 | 22:18 | 1.09 | 57.7% | +92.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:23 | 0.11 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:26 | 0.04 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.21 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:39 | 0.09 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:02 | 0.03 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:43 | 0.41 | 31.6% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:36 | 0.17 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.08 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:52 | 0.07 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:34 | 0.04 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:09 | 0.03 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:43 | 0.13 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.48 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.18 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 24:04 | 0.77 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 22:45 | 0.03 | 39.5% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:32 | 0.20 | 50.0% | +16.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:33 | 0.63 | 52.8% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.42 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.00 | 41.2% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.00 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.12 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 67.8% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.19 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.04 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 | 0.00 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.22 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:05 | 0.05 | 35.0% | +15.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 10:38 | 0.52 | 51.1% | +32.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:16 | 0.00 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.11 | 68.2% | +16.9 |
| L | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.43 | +0.4 | 38:02 | |
| – | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.04 | −2.0 | 20:00 |