Sat, Feb 8, 2025·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Pittsburgh Penguins 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 91% of the time.
87%
PHI winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25:03 | 0.09 | 57.2% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 23:16 | 0.11 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.09 | 67.3% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:16 | 0.67 | 79.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:00 | 0.02 | 64.7% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 19:15 | 1.50 | 76.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.43 | 72.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.01 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.03 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.04 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.64 | 85.1% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.09 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 13:02 | 0.37 | 58.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.29 | 3.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.24 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 3.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 1.56 | −1.4 | 58:18 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:15 | 0.08 | 25.2% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:00 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.13 | 27.3% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 20:02 | 0.07 | 21.4% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.14 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:07 | 0.10 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:53 | 0.04 | 24.9% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:20 | 0.28 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.01 | 14.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.03 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 | 0.03 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.20 | 43.0% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.12 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.02 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.26 | 60.5% | +19.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:53 | 0.07 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 5:14 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 4.62 | +2.6 | 59:48 |