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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 25, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Anaheim Ducks 2, Buffalo Sabres 3

Away

Anaheim Ducks

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 81% of the time.

BUF winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:34Shot by Greenway, saved by Dostal
  3. P1 1:40Shot by Cozens, saved by Dostal
  4. P1 1:46Greenway: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Gilbert, Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn · ANA Trouba, Fabbri, Lundeström, Gauthier, Mintyukov

  5. P1 2:39Dahlin: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Dahlin, Power, Benson · ANA Strome, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe, McTavish

  6. P1 3:05Goal by McTavish (LaCombe, Terry)3v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Samuelsson, Byram · ANA Strome, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe, McTavish

  7. P1 3:56Shot by Benson, saved by Dostal4v5
  8. P1 5:18Shot by Thompson, saved by Dostal
  9. P1 7:34Shot by McLeod, saved by Dostal
  10. P1 8:52Shot by Trouba, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 8:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Dostal
  12. P1 9:18Shot by Byram, saved by Dostal
  13. P1 9:24Shot by Peterka, saved by Dostal
  14. P1 12:42Mintyukov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens, Quinn · ANA Killorn, Trouba, McTavish, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  15. P1 14:11Shot by Tuch, saved by Dostal5v4
  16. P1 15:54Krebs: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Krebs, Peterka, Power · ANA Killorn, Trouba, McTavish, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  17. P1 15:54Trouba: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Thompson, Jokiharju, Krebs, Peterka, Power · ANA Killorn, Trouba, McTavish, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  18. P1 16:33Peterka: Too many men on the ice (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Jokiharju, Peterka, Power · ANA Terry, LaCombe, McTavish, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  19. P1 17:03Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen3v4
  20. P1 17:48Shot by Strome, saved by Luukkonen3v4
  21. P1 18:04Shot by LaCombe, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  22. P1 18:06Strome: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram · ANA Strome, Trouba, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe

  23. P1 18:06Samuelsson: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram · ANA Strome, Trouba, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe

  24. P1 18:06Vatrano: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram · ANA Strome, Trouba, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe

  25. P1 18:06Strome: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram · ANA Strome, Trouba, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe

  26. P1 18:06Krebs: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Krebs, Byram · ANA Strome, Trouba, Vatrano, Terry, LaCombe

  27. P1 18:42Shot by Thompson, saved by Dostal5v4
  28. P1 18:46Shot by Zucker, saved by Dostal5v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:57Shot by Kulich, saved by Dostal
  32. P2 1:15Shot by Peterka, saved by Dostal
  33. P2 3:13Tuch: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Zucker, Tuch, Gilbert, Jokiharju, McLeod · ANA Killorn, Gudas, Terry, LaCombe, McTavish

  34. P2 4:54Shot by Carlsson, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  35. P2 4:58Goal by Carlsson (Mintyukov, Lundeström)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, McLeod, Samuelsson, Power · ANA Killorn, Lundeström, Gauthier, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  36. P2 7:10Shot by Cozens, saved by Dostal
  37. P2 9:23Shot by Helleson, saved by Luukkonen
  38. P2 9:27Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 10:09Shot by Terry, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 12:47Shot by Thompson, saved by Dostal
  41. P2 12:57Shot by Gauthier, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 13:41Shot by Quinn, saved by Dostal
  43. P2 13:44Trouba: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Cozens, Quinn, Power · ANA Trouba, Johnston, Harkins, Leason, Mintyukov

  44. P2 15:55Shot by Benson, saved by Dostal
  45. P2 17:35Shot by McTavish, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 18:20Shot by Thompson, saved by Dostal
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:51Shot by LaCombe, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P3 1:04Shot by Thompson, saved by Dostal
  51. P3 1:49Shot by Power, saved by Dostal
  52. P3 1:56Goal by Peterka (Cozens, Power)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · ANA Trouba, Lundeström, LaCombe, Gauthier, Mintyukov

  53. P3 3:10Shot by Killorn, saved by Luukkonen
  54. P3 4:01Shot by Byram, saved by Dostal
  55. P3 4:43Shot by Cozens, saved by Dostal
  56. P3 4:48Shot by Quinn, saved by Dostal
  57. P3 5:02Shot by Cozens, saved by Dostal
  58. P3 5:33Shot by Tuch, saved by Dostal
  59. P3 5:34Goal by Tuch (Cozens)+32 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Jokiharju, Cozens, Peterka, Power · ANA Dumoulin, Fabbri, Lundeström, Helleson, Gauthier

  60. P3 5:59Shot by Tuch, saved by Dostal
  61. P3 7:48Shot by Thompson, saved by Dostal
  62. P3 7:58Shot by Greenway, saved by Dostal
  63. P3 8:00Shot by Vatrano, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 8:31Shot by Kulich, saved by Dostal
  65. P3 9:31Goal by Jokiharju (Quinn, Cozens)+29 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · ANA Killorn, LaCombe, McTavish, Mintyukov, Carlsson

  66. P3 9:57Shot by Tuch, saved by Dostal
  67. P3 9:58Shot by Greenway, saved by Dostal
  68. P3 11:28Shot by Zucker, saved by Dostal
  69. P3 13:32Shot by Quinn, saved by Dostal
  70. P3 13:57Shot by McLeod, saved by Dostal
  71. P3 15:29Shot by Gauthier, saved by Luukkonen
  72. P3 18:25Shot by Vatrano, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  73. P3 18:32Shot by Gudas, saved by Luukkonen5v6
  74. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  75. P3 0:00Final5v6