Tue, Feb 25, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Anaheim Ducks 2, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 81% of the time.
75%
14%
BUF winsANA wins
Anaheim Ducks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 27:33 | 0.05 | 24.2% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:18 | 0.20 | 14.9% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:45 | 0.20 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.03 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.68 | 27.4% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:18 | 1.10 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.04 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.10 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.26 | 33.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 16:40 | 0.10 | 13.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.00 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.08 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.11 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 18.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:38 | 0.09 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 5.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:20 | 0.00 | 13.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 4.20 | +1.2 | 57:49 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:50 | 0.39 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:41 | 0.09 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 20:40 | 0.06 | 75.7% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.02 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:16 | 0.90 | 84.7% | +31.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 18:18 | 0.99 | 77.3% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.09 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.32 | 83.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16:27 | 0.27 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 16:04 | 0.46 | 85.3% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 15:42 | 0.62 | 90.5% | +76.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.03 | 92.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.03 | 91.5% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:12 | 0.37 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:44 | 0.53 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.02 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:56 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 16 | 2 | .889 | 3.03 | +1.0 | 60:00 |