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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 25, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Edmonton Oilers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Edmonton Oilers

1

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.

TBL winsEDM wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Hagel, saved by Skinner
  3. P1 1:31Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 1:50Shot by Janmark, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 2:09Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  6. P1 3:02Shot by Hagel, saved by Skinner
  7. P1 4:47Shot by Nurse, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:15Shot by Kapanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 5:56Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 6:35Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 8:00Shot by Paul, saved by Skinner
  12. P1 8:14Shot by Hedman, saved by Skinner
  13. P1 8:15Shot by Guentzel, saved by Skinner
  14. P1 11:37Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Glendening, Eyssimont, Goncalves, Moser · EDM Perry, Henrique, Nurse, Kapanen, McDavid, Stecher

  15. P1 11:53Goal by Draisaitl (McDavid, Bouchard)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Glendening, Girgensons, Cernak · EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  16. P1 12:29Shot by Cirelli, saved by Skinner
  17. P1 13:11Goal by Eyssimont (Goncalves)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Point, Eyssimont, Goncalves, Moser · EDM Perry, Henrique, Kulak, Kapanen, Stecher

  18. P1 13:55Shot by Bouchard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 14:01Shot by Point, saved by Skinner
  20. P1 14:40Shot by Point, saved by Skinner
  21. P1 16:00Shot by Cirelli, saved by Skinner
  22. P1 16:56Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  23. P1 17:06Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 17:22Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  25. P1 18:20Shot by Hedman, saved by Skinner
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:29Goal by Hagel (Girgensons, Cirelli)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Girgensons, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Arvidsson, McDavid, Bouchard

  29. P2 3:49Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  30. P2 3:53Shot by McDonagh, saved by Skinner
  31. P2 4:23Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 4:30Draisaitl: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Moser · EDM Nurse, Draisaitl, Emberson, Podkolzin, Savoie

  33. P2 4:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner5v4
  34. P2 5:18Nugent-Hopkins: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Hagel · EDM Henrique, Nugent-Hopkins, Kulak, Nurse

  35. P2 5:38Goal by Hedman (Point, Kucherov)5v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Hagel · EDM Ekholm, Janmark, Emberson

  36. P2 6:04Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner5v4
  37. P2 8:27Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 8:48Shot by Kulak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 9:24Shot by Chaffee, saved by Skinner
  40. P2 9:31Shot by Raddysh, saved by Skinner
  41. P2 10:01Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Skinner
  42. P2 11:01Shot by Ekholm, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 13:07Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 13:36Shot by Hagel, saved by Skinner
  45. P2 14:27Shot by Perry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 15:13Shot by Bouchard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 15:56Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Skinner
  48. P2 16:22Shot by Nurse, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 16:24Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 17:39Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Skinner
  51. P2 18:12Shot by Point, saved by Skinner
  52. P2 18:49Shot by Guentzel, saved by Skinner
  53. P2 19:35Shot by McDavid, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:46Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 2:46Shot by Emberson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 4:21Shot by Stecher, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 7:23Goal by Paul (Guentzel, Kucherov)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Paul, Cernak · EDM Ekholm, Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Nurse, Arvidsson

  60. P3 9:15Shot by Savoie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 9:17Shot by Savoie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 10:03Shot by Point, saved by Skinner
  63. P3 12:24Shot by Glendening, saved by Skinner
  64. P3 13:42Shot by Cirelli, saved by Skinner
  65. P3 16:49Shot by Paul, saved by Skinner
  66. P3 18:07Draisaitl: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · EDM Hyman, Kulak, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard

  67. P3 18:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Skinner5v4
  68. P3 19:07Shot by Hagel, saved by Skinner5v4
  69. P3 19:36Shot by Goncalves, saved by Skinner5v4
  70. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  71. P3 0:00Final