Tue, Feb 25, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Edmonton Oilers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.
67%
9%
17%
TBL winsEDM wins
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:16 | 0.01 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:02 | 0.02 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.13 | 46.0% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.16 | 45.3% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.09 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:41 | 0.42 | 59.5% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.01 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:50 | 0.17 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:11 | 0.01 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.11 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.04 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:32 | 0.00 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:57 | 0.00 | 13.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.36 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 | 0.00 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.10 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:42 | 0.01 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.05 | −1.0 | 59:12 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:51 | 0.26 | 64.0% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:10 | 0.06 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:38 | 0.23 | 50.0% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.45 | 67.1% | +3.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:21 | 0.40 | 50.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.37 | 61.2% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 19:34 | 0.00 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.14 | 55.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:56 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.25 | 41.3% | +3.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:12 | 0.17 | 58.6% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.16 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.25 | 31.0% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 12:04 | 0.24 | 84.5% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:03 | 0.01 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.00 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.05 | 79.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.01 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 23 | 1 | .958 | 1.65 | +0.6 | 60:00 |