Tue, Feb 25, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Edmonton Oilers 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 76% of the time.
67%
9%
17%
TBL winsEDM wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against EDM's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Nugent-Hopkins–Brown–Janmark | Hyman–Arvidsson–McDavid | Draisaitl–Podkolzin–Savoie | Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | Perry–Henrique–Kapanen | Henrique–Kapanen–Arvidsson | Nugent-Hopkins–Podkolzin–Savoie | Perry–Draisaitl–McDavid | Janmark–Draisaitl–Savoie | Perry–Henrique–Draisaitl | Ekholm–Bouchard | Kulak–Stecher | Nurse–Emberson | Kulak–Bouchard | Ekholm–Emberson | Kulak–Nurse | Nurse–Stecher | Nurse–Bouchard | Ekholm–Stecher | Ekholm–Kulak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girgensons–Cirelli–Hagel | 7:360.27–0.27 | 3:250.02–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.11 | 5:590.19–0.20 | 1:340.04–0.00 | 2:070.01–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.09 | 0:590.00–0.01 | 0:460.04–0.05 | ||||||||||
| Kucherov–Guentzel–Point | 1:540.12–0.00 | 5:180.05–0.00 | 0:460.10–0.09 | 1:380.18–0.00 | 1:060.16–0.30 | 0:560.06–0.00 | 3:140.19–0.10 | 2:090.18–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.30 | 1:460.16–0.00 | 1:080.10–0.00 | 1:250.12–0.00 | |||||||
| Paul–Chaffee–Goncalves | 3:520.00–0.15 | 1:000.09–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.10 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:390.00–0.15 | 2:220.09–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.09 | 1:070.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:390.11–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:420.11–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Paul–Eyssimont | 0:310.00–0.01 | 0:300.05–0.00 | 0:350.08–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Eyssimont–Goncalves | 1:190.00–0.02 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Guentzel–Eyssimont | 1:260.13–0.00 | 1:270.13–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Girgensons–Eyssimont | 1:030.17–0.01 | 1:100.17–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Guentzel–Point–Goncalves | 0:320.00–0.03 | |||||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Cernak | 8:120.33–0.19 | 4:490.12–0.00 | 0:460.09–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.11 | 7:060.36–0.12 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 1:340.04–0.00 | 2:470.01–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:510.10–0.09 | 1:360.10–0.01 | 0:340.00–0.05 | ||||||||
| Hedman–Moser | 1:110.00–0.02 | 5:540.05–0.10 | 0:510.12–0.10 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.30 | 1:560.08–0.02 | 1:310.12–0.00 | 2:080.00–0.16 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:050.05–0.30 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:200.12–0.00 | ||||||
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 2:590.27–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:140.04–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.06 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 0:350.04–0.00 | 1:560.05–0.00 | 0:390.11–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:090.17–0.01 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 3:300.12–0.15 | 0:380.00–0.01 | 1:280.18–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.07 | 2:130.19–0.15 | 2:350.12–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.03 | 0:470.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| McDonagh–Moser | 0:360.00–0.09 | 0:310.04–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Moser–Lilleberg | 0:360.09–0.00 | 0:380.09–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLEDMFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brett KulakEDM | 25 | 23:16 | 0:56 | 1:27 | 3 | 3 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 22:51 | 1:00 | 3:13 | 4 | 5 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 25 | 22:10 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Mattias EkholmEDM | 26 | 22:02 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 21:38 | 0:46 | 2:43 | 5 | 4 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 25 | 21:31 | 0:52 | 2:26 | 5 | 4 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 22 | 21:21 | 0:58 | 2:45 | 3 | 3 |
 Connor McDavidEDM | 22 | 20:30 | 0:56 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Evan BouchardEDM | 25 | 20:27 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 4 | 0 |
 Darnell NurseEDM | 21 | 20:13 | 0:58 | 1:44 | 1 | 6 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 19:41 | 0:51 | 2:44 | 4 | 4 |
 Leon DraisaitlEDM | 24 | 19:41 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 6 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 19:34 | 0:47 | 1:10 | 3 | 4 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 23 | 17:50 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Ty EmbersonEDM | 21 | 17:35 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 2 | 7 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 22 | 16:56 | 0:46 | 1:36 | 4 | 5 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 22 | 16:53 | 0:46 | 1:11 | 6 | 2 |
 Zach HymanEDM | 21 | 16:50 | 0:48 | 1:26 | 3 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 20 | 16:12 | 0:49 | 1:39 | 3 | 4 |
 Troy StecherEDM | 19 | 16:11 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 2 | 3 |
 Mattias JanmarkEDM | 18 | 15:18 | 0:51 | 1:33 | 1 | 6 |
 Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM | 19 | 15:18 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 3 | 6 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 18 | 15:01 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 6 | 1 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 19 | 14:49 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 6 | 2 |
 Viktor ArvidssonEDM | 18 | 14:32 | 0:48 | 1:06 | 2 | 4 |
 Connor BrownEDM | 17 | 14:00 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 1 | 5 |
 Adam HenriqueEDM | 19 | 13:57 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 2 | 7 |
 Matt SavoieEDM | 17 | 13:00 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Vasily PodkolzinEDM | 17 | 12:49 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 3 | 0 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 14 | 12:04 | 0:52 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 13 | 11:03 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 14 | 10:42 | 0:46 | 1:01 | 5 | 1 |
 Corey PerryEDM | 12 | 10:26 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 15 | 10:10 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 3 | 2 |
 Kasperi KapanenEDM | 12 | 9:42 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 13 | 9:18 | 0:43 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |