Wed, Feb 26, 2025·Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vancouver Canucks 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 16 | 16 | 04 | 11 | 317 |
| LAK | 04 | 09 | 211 | 02 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:56VANNils HoglanderAssists: Derek Forbort · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 13:07VANConor GarlandPPAssists: Filip Chytil, Dakota Joshua · Wrist, 0.24 xG2–0
- P3 9:16LAKAdrian KempeAssists: Vladislav Gavrikov, Quinton Byfield · Snap, 0.11 xG2–1
- P3 14:01LAKWarren FoegeleAssists: Jordan Spence, Jacob Moverare · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–2
- OT 4:26VANConor GarlandGWGAssists: Quinn Hughes, Filip Chytil · Wrist, 0.06 xG3–2
Penalties (6)
- P2 0:47VANMarcus Pettersson: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:33VANJake DeBrusk: Tripping2 min
- P2 11:46LAKAdrian Kempe: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 14:56LAKKevin Fiala: Holding2 min
- P3 14:01VANFilip Chytil: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
- OT 0:52VANDrew O'Connor: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Danault won the faceoff against Pettersson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- Blueger – Sherwood – O'Connor2:01
xG 0.03–0.00 (92%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
- Boeser – Suter – O'Connor9:12
xG 0.09–0.39 (19%)attempts 7–10goals 0–1
- DeBrusk – Pettersson – Hoglander9:34
xG 0.19–0.55 (26%)attempts 6–16goals 0–1
- Joshua – Garland – Chytil10:19
xG 0.21–0.73 (22%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestForbort – Soucy2:15
xG 0.20–0.13 (61%)attempts 3–2goals 1–0
- Forbort – Pettersson2:34
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Forbort – Hronek4:09
xG 0.14–0.24 (38%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestFiala – Kempe – Byfield7:33
xG 0.58–0.13 (82%)attempts 13–6goals 1–0
- Danault – Foegele – Moore11:15
xG 0.59–0.31 (65%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- Kopitar – Turcotte – Laferriere3:02
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Kopitar – Kempe – Turcotte4:19
xG 0.11–0.01 (93%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGavrikov – Anderson19:45
xG 0.81–0.33 (71%)attempts 18–13goals 0–0
- Moverare – Clarke4:49
xG 0.28–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Moverare – Spence4:53
xG 0.22–0.04 (85%)attempts 9–1goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 81% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).