Mon, Mar 3, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
San Jose Sharks 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 66% of the time.
58%
27%
TOR winsSJS wins
San Jose Sharks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:38 | 0.13 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25:59 | 0.26 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.02 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.04 | 49.0% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.09 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:36 | 0.64 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 19:01 | 0.13 | 63.3% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:56 | 0.22 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.01 | 64.1% | +42.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.17 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:42 | 0.57 | 79.7% | +29.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:39 | 0.20 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.01 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.07 | 57.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:24 | 0.08 | 12.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.28 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:13 | 0.02 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.94 | +1.9 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:29 | 0.18 | 48.3% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 25:55 | 0.77 | 47.4% | +12.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:53 | 1.04 | 48.4% | +12.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 23:43 | 1.27 | 54.4% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:03 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:42 | 0.04 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.00 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 21:33 | 0.03 | 35.4% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:04 | 0.03 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:42 | 0.04 | 68.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:24 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.09 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:55 | 0.12 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.04 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:23 | 0.22 | 31.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:09 | 0.07 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.92 | +0.9 | 65:00 |