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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 4, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

San Jose Sharks 6, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

San Jose Sharks

6

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 77% of the time.

BUF winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:29Shot by Goodrow, saved by Luukkonen
  3. P1 5:40Shot by Toffoli, saved by Luukkonen
  4. P1 5:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Luukkonen
  5. P1 6:04Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 6:06Shot by Tuch, saved by Georgiev
  7. P1 6:34Shot by Thompson, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 8:22Shot by McLeod, saved by Georgiev
  9. P1 10:49Tuch: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens · SJS Walman, Ferraro, Zetterlund, Smith, Celebrini

  10. P1 11:20Shot by Celebrini, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  11. P1 12:47Shot by Graf, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  12. P1 14:52Shot by Eklund, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 14:54Cozens: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Dahlin, Byram, Cozens · SJS Wennberg, Ferraro, Liljegren, Eklund, Smith

  14. P1 15:01Shot by Celebrini, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  15. P1 15:02Shot by Toffoli, saved by Luukkonen4v5
  16. P1 18:32Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 19:32Shot by Liljegren, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 19:44Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:01Goal by Liljegren (Eklund, Walman)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Walman, Liljegren, Eklund

  22. P2 2:43Shot by Liljegren, saved by Luukkonen
  23. P2 2:50Shot by Kunin, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P2 4:00Thompson: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, Krebs, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · SJS Vlasic, Zetterlund, Thompson, Smith, Celebrini

  25. P2 4:16Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev5v4
  26. P2 5:13Goal by Peterka (Dahlin, Quinn)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka · SJS Walman, Kunin, Ferraro, Dellandrea

  27. P2 5:19Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Luukkonen
  28. P2 5:26Shot by Liljegren, saved by Luukkonen
  29. P2 7:46Shot by Tuch, saved by Georgiev
  30. P2 8:24Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  31. P2 8:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Georgiev
  32. P2 9:16Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn · SJS Vlasic, Goodrow, Kunin, Liljegren, Sturm

  33. P2 9:16Kunin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn · SJS Vlasic, Goodrow, Kunin, Liljegren, Sturm

  34. P2 11:16Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 11:19Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 13:00Shot by Kulich, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 13:17Shot by Byram, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 13:20Shot by Malenstyn, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 13:32Goodrow: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Malenstyn, Krebs, Byram, Power, Benson · SJS Goodrow, Walman, Kunin, Liljegren, Sturm

  40. P2 14:03Shot by Sturm, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  41. P2 14:36Shot by Walman, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  42. P2 17:09Shot by Toffoli, saved by Luukkonen
  43. P2 18:22Goal by Sturm (Graf, Kostin)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Greenway, Byram, Cozens, Quinn, Power · SJS Walman, Kostin, Sturm, Thompson, Graf

  44. P2 18:53Shot by Kulich, saved by Georgiev
  45. P2 19:19Shot by Eklund, saved by Luukkonen
  46. P2 19:35Shot by Thompson, saved by Luukkonen
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:36Shot by Peterka, saved by Georgiev
  50. P3 1:29Shot by Clifton, saved by Georgiev
  51. P3 2:19Goal by Eklund (Toffoli, Mukhamadullin)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, McLeod, Quinn, Benson · SJS Vlasic, Toffoli, Wennberg, Mukhamadullin, Eklund

  52. P3 3:24Shot by Smith, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P3 5:03Shot by Cozens, saved by Georgiev
  54. P3 6:43Shot by Clifton, saved by Georgiev
  55. P3 6:55Goal by Thompson (Peterka, Clifton)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Thompson, Bryson, Peterka, Kulich · SJS Walman, Kunin, Zetterlund, Dellandrea, Thompson

  56. P3 7:58Goal by Celebrini (Mukhamadullin, Smith)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Byram, Power, Kulich · SJS Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini

  57. P3 12:49Goal by Smith (Zetterlund)+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Clifton, Bryson, McLeod, Quinn, Benson · SJS Walman, Liljegren, Zetterlund, Smith, Celebrini

  58. P3 17:22Shot by Benson, saved by Georgiev6v5
  59. P3 18:01Goal by Toffoli (Walman, Liljegren)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Byram, Peterka, Kulich · SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Walman, Liljegren, Eklund

  60. P3 19:25Shot by Sturm, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 19:32Shot by Kostin, saved by Luukkonen
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final