Tue, Mar 4, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
San Jose Sharks 6, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 77% of the time.
15%
70%
BUF winsSJS wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SJS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Zetterlund–Smith–Celebrini | Toffoli–Wennberg–Eklund | Goodrow–Kunin–Sturm | Kostin–Dellandrea–Graf | Goodrow–Kunin–Dellandrea | Kostin–Sturm–Graf | Goodrow–Dellandrea–Graf | Eklund–Smith–Celebrini | Ferraro–Mukhamadullin | Walman–Liljegren | Vlasic–Thompson | Walman–Thompson | Ferraro–Liljegren | Walman–Ferraro | Walman–Mukhamadullin | Vlasic–Mukhamadullin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson–Peterka–Kulich | 1:260.00–0.03 | 1:520.00–0.00 | 3:240.08–0.07 | 1:520.02–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.20 | 4:200.08–0.07 | 3:220.08–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.03 | |||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–Cozens | 3:050.19–0.23 | 1:460.15–0.01 | 0:510.00–0.10 | 0:480.24–0.07 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 2:530.11–0.00 | 1:350.20–0.29 | 1:390.31–0.11 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.12 | ||||||
| McLeod–Quinn–Benson | 1:490.00–0.10 | 2:120.23–0.02 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.13 | 0:550.00–0.06 | 2:280.06–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–Krebs | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.13 | 1:400.13–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:470.13–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.08 | 2:500.00–0.11 | 0:390.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Benson | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:420.04–0.01 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:550.04–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Lafferty–McLeod–Kulich | 0:480.00–0.15 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:340.03–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Peterka | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:400.14–0.00 | 1:350.14–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Greenway–Cozens–Quinn | 0:530.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–Thompson | 0:530.00–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||
| Lafferty–Greenway–Krebs | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 2:380.00–0.04 | 3:140.15–0.08 | 1:470.06–0.01 | 1:160.05–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.20 | 4:000.02–0.00 | 2:460.12–0.09 | 1:510.07–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:330.03–0.00 | |||||
| Clifton–Bryson | 2:110.00–0.12 | 2:060.17–0.02 | 1:550.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.00 | 1:070.00–0.06 | 3:340.00–0.14 | 0:400.22–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:570.00–0.11 | 1:010.00–0.09 | 0:390.04–0.07 | 0:440.14–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.15 | 2:520.14–0.07 | 2:230.04–0.16 | 0:410.00–0.15 | |||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 1:140.00–0.19 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 2:270.08–0.15 | 0:480.24–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.06 | 3:150.08–0.29 | 0:430.00–0.12 | |||||||||
| Bryson–Power | 1:270.11–0.05 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:480.04–0.02 | 2:300.11–0.06 | 1:310.00–0.05 | |||||||||||
| Clifton–Samuelsson | 0:570.08–0.00 | 1:240.06–0.06 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:400.13–0.00 | 1:500.13–0.00 | 0:320.08–0.00 | 1:140.06–0.06 | |||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:090.06–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFSJSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 26:43 | 0:53 | 2:01 | 7 | 2 |
 Mario FerraroSJS | 25 | 26:05 | 1:03 | 2:01 | 1 | 4 |
 Jake WalmanSJS | 25 | 22:56 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 1 | 6 |
 Shakir MukhamadullinSJS | 25 | 22:34 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 1 | 2 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 21:09 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 2 | 5 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 20:11 | 0:55 | 1:48 | 5 | 3 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 21 | 19:41 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 4 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 19:03 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 7 | 3 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 29 | 18:51 | 0:39 | 1:13 | 8 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 25 | 17:53 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 5 | 2 |
 William EklundSJS | 18 | 17:24 | 0:58 | 1:42 | 1 | 2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenSJS | 24 | 17:21 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 1 | 4 |
 Alexander WennbergSJS | 19 | 17:07 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 24 | 17:04 | 0:43 | 1:12 | 1 | 7 |
 Jiri KulichBUF | 19 | 16:43 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 3 | 3 |
 Fabian ZetterlundSJS | 22 | 16:19 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 1 | 4 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 23 | 16:17 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 6 | 4 |
 Will SmithSJS | 20 | 16:13 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 0 | 4 |
 Macklin CelebriniSJS | 20 | 16:11 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 2 | 4 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 22 | 15:31 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 1 | 5 |
 Tyler ToffoliSJS | 18 | 15:20 | 0:51 | 1:26 | 4 | 2 |
 Luke KuninSJS | 20 | 14:59 | 0:45 | 1:03 | 2 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 22 | 14:51 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 5 | 3 |
 Barclay GoodrowSJS | 19 | 14:18 | 0:45 | 1:07 | 2 | 3 |
 Collin GrafSJS | 18 | 14:17 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 5 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 17 | 13:33 | 0:48 | 1:23 | 3 | 1 |
 Jack ThompsonSJS | 18 | 13:33 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 3 | 1 |
 Marc-Edouard VlasicSJS | 17 | 13:28 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Nico SturmSJS | 17 | 13:27 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 19 | 13:04 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 4 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 15 | 12:18 | 0:49 | 1:12 | 3 | 2 |
 Ty DellandreaSJS | 17 | 12:16 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 6 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 16 | 11:30 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 2 | 3 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 14 | 11:25 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 1 | 2 |
 Klim KostinSJS | 15 | 10:59 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 5 | 1 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 14 | 10:48 | 0:46 | 1:04 | 0 | 0 |