Tue, Mar 4, 2025·UBS Arena, Elmont
Winnipeg Jets 2, New York Islanders 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 66% of the time.
25%
9%
8%
58%
NYI winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 25:45 | 0.33 | 43.1% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:26 | 0.01 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.03 | 18.8% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 21:23 | 0.29 | 17.7% | +22.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:53 | 0.04 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.08 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.06 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18:08 | 0.76 | 72.4% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.11 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 | 0.10 | 75.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.54 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:57 | 0.08 | 71.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.03 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.18 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:50 | 0.00 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 7:34 | 0.19 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:50 | 0.00 | 76.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 1.95 | −1.1 | 58:26 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:51 | 0.02 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 21:35 | 0.12 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:45 | 0.12 | 87.0% | +12.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 20:14 | 0.22 | 70.9% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.06 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.26 | 87.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.42 | 33.9% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.13 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.02 | 6.0% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.07 | 56.4% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.07 | 46.4% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 2.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.08 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.06 | 82.6% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.05 | 22.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.18 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:03 | 0.06 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.87 | +0.9 | 59:25 |