Sat, Mar 8, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
New York Rangers 3, Ottawa Senators 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 76% of the time.
69%
17%
OTT winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 24:36 | 0.01 | 36.8% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:00 | 0.33 | 36.0% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.02 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.01 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:19 | 0.12 | 12.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:58 | 0.35 | 38.2% | +15.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17:39 | 0.40 | 40.3% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.20 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.12 | 60.7% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:23 | 0.03 | 33.1% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.03 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.01 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:10 | 0.06 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.24 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:05 | 0.24 | 81.0% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.04 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.12 | 89.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.97 | 0.0 | 60:20 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 24:02 | 0.13 | 69.0% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.46 | 65.9% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:15 | 0.28 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.25 | 43.7% | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 19:55 | 0.98 | 76.4% | +61.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:18 | 0.23 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.12 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.25 | 39.5% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.07 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.03 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 71.4% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.27 | 73.1% | +44.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 15:13 | 0.62 | 72.7% | +44.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.02 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 12:23 | 0.24 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.03 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:28 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:19 | 0.00 | 33.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.36 | −0.6 | 60:32 |