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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 8, 2025·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

New York Islanders 4, San Jose Sharks 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 52% of the time.

SJS winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:09Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 0:24Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 0:46Shot by Liljegren, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 0:58Shot by Kostin, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 1:01Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin
  7. P1 3:15Shot by Duclair, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 3:26Shot by Wennberg, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 3:52Pelech: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Kostin, Liljegren, Smith, Celebrini · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson, Holmstrom

  10. P1 4:18Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin5v4
  11. P1 5:17Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin5v4
  12. P1 5:44Shot by Liljegren, saved by Sorokin5v4
  13. P1 5:53Shot by Kostin, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 5:56Shot by Thrun, saved by Sorokin
  15. P1 6:06Shot by Goodrow, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 6:14Shot by Kostin, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 8:07Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 8:08Shot by Eklund, saved by Sorokin
  19. P1 9:45Shot by Thrun, saved by Sorokin
  20. P1 10:05Shot by Grundstrom, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 10:11Thrun: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Goodrow, Grundstrom, Ferraro, Thrun, Celebrini · NYI Pulock, Engvall, Boqvist, MacLean, Gatcomb

  22. P1 10:43Goal by Duclair (Holmstrom, Dobson)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Desharnais, Ferraro, Dellandrea, Graf · NYI Palmieri, Duclair, Horvat, Dobson, Holmstrom

  23. P1 11:15Kostin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Kostin, Liljegren, Smith, Celebrini · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, Dobson, Tsyplakov

  24. P1 11:56Shot by Horvat, saved by Georgiev4v5
  25. P1 12:00Shot by Dobson, saved by Georgiev4v5
  26. P1 12:02Shot by Palmieri, saved by Georgiev4v5
  27. P1 12:26Shot by Horvat, saved by Georgiev4v5
  28. P1 14:10Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin
  29. P1 16:02Shot by Giles, saved by Sorokin
  30. P1 17:32Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin
  31. P1 19:21Goal by Pageau (Dobson, Pelech)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Goodrow, Grundstrom, Liljegren, Giles · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson, Holmstrom

  32. P1 19:52Shot by Tsyplakov, saved by Georgiev
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:28Shot by Palmieri, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 0:37Shot by Palmieri, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 1:47Shot by Cizikas, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 2:42Shot by Engvall, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 3:59Shot by Horvat, saved by Georgiev
  40. P2 4:00Shot by Horvat, saved by Georgiev
  41. P2 4:35Lee: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Kostin, Liljegren, Smith, Celebrini · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson, Holmstrom

  42. P2 4:39Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin5v4
  43. P2 5:19Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin5v4
  44. P2 6:27Goal by Kovalenko (Mukhamadullin, Celebrini)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Kostin, Liljegren, Kovalenko, Mukhamadullin, Celebrini · NYI Palmieri, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock

  45. P2 7:12Shot by Palmieri, saved by Georgiev
  46. P2 7:27Shot by Horvat, saved by Georgiev
  47. P2 7:37Shot by Palmieri, saved by Georgiev
  48. P2 8:24Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin
  49. P2 11:02Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin
  50. P2 12:10Shot by Thrun, saved by Sorokin
  51. P2 13:32Shot by Lee, saved by Georgiev
  52. P2 13:35Shot by MacLean, saved by Georgiev
  53. P2 14:44Shot by Dobson, saved by Georgiev
  54. P2 16:28Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin
  55. P2 18:29Shot by Mukhamadullin, saved by Sorokin
  56. P2 18:59Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin
  57. P2 19:58Shot by Lee, saved by Georgiev
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:19Shot by Palmieri, saved by Georgiev
  61. P3 0:34Shot by Horvat, saved by Georgiev
  62. P3 1:13Goal by Lee (Holmstrom, Pageau)+17 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Kostin, Liljegren, Smith, Celebrini · NYI Lee, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson, Holmstrom

  63. P3 2:00Kovalenko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Ferraro, Dellandrea, Kovalenko, Mukhamadullin, Graf · NYI Cizikas, Fasching, Pulock, Boqvist, Tsyplakov

  64. P3 3:51Goal by Boqvist (Pageau, DeAngelo)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Wennberg, Mukhamadullin, Eklund · NYI Lee, Pageau, DeAngelo, Boqvist, Tsyplakov

  65. P3 5:19Shot by Fasching, saved by Georgiev
  66. P3 7:25Shot by Giles, saved by Sorokin
  67. P3 8:22Gatcomb: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Ferraro, Mukhamadullin, Eklund, Celebrini · NYI DeAngelo, Engvall, Romanov, MacLean, Gatcomb

  68. P3 8:40Shot by Smith, saved by Sorokin5v4
  69. P3 8:55Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin5v4
  70. P3 9:12Shot by Toffoli, saved by Sorokin5v4
  71. P3 9:32Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin5v4
  72. P3 10:23Shot by Kostin, saved by Sorokin
  73. P3 11:08Shot by Pelech, saved by Georgiev
  74. P3 12:08Shot by Horvat, saved by Georgiev
  75. P3 13:26Shot by Vlasic, saved by Sorokin
  76. P3 15:29Kovalenko: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Liljegren, Dellandrea, Kovalenko, Thrun, Graf · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, Boqvist, Tsyplakov

  77. P3 17:42Shot by Eklund, saved by Sorokin
  78. P3 17:45Boqvist: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Toffoli, Liljegren, Eklund, Celebrini · NYI Lee, Pageau, DeAngelo, Boqvist, Tsyplakov

  79. P3 18:25Shot by Wennberg, saved by Sorokin6v4
  80. P3 18:33Goal by Smith (Celebrini, Wennberg)6v40 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Toffoli, Wennberg, Kostin, Eklund, Smith, Celebrini · NYI Cizikas, Pelech, Horvat, Pulock

  81. P3 19:34Shot by Celebrini, saved by Sorokin6v5
  82. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  83. P3 0:00Final6v5