Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 10, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Ottawa Senators 2

Away

Detroit Red Wings

1

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

OTT winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:33Shot by Amadio, saved by Talbot
  3. P1 3:46Shot by Jensen, saved by Talbot
  4. P1 4:18Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 4:35Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot
  6. P1 5:06Shot by Zub, saved by Talbot
  7. P1 6:06Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Talbot
  8. P1 6:19Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 7:25Shot by Sanderson, saved by Talbot
  10. P1 9:07Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  11. P1 9:39Gaudette: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Gaudette, Greig, Sanderson, Matinpalo · DET Smith, Chiarot, Tarasenko, Compher, Seider

  12. P1 10:13Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark4v5
  13. P1 10:49Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark4v5
  14. P1 11:12Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark4v5
  15. P1 11:25Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark4v5
  16. P1 14:16Shot by Zetterlund, saved by Talbot
  17. P1 15:09Holl: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Kasper

  18. P1 15:09Stützle: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Kasper

  19. P1 16:18Shot by Raymond, saved by Ullmark4v4
  20. P1 16:26Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark4v4
  21. P1 18:56Shot by Amadio, saved by Talbot
  22. P1 19:01Shot by Jensen, saved by Talbot
  23. P1 19:35Edvinsson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Jensen, Chabot, Tkachuk, Stützle · DET Larkin, Johansson, Soderblom, Raymond, Edvinsson

  24. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:46Shot by Batherson, saved by Talbot5v4
  27. P2 1:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot5v4
  28. P2 1:38Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Talbot
  29. P2 2:00Shot by Pinto, saved by Talbot
  30. P2 3:05Shot by Gaudette, saved by Talbot
  31. P2 4:03Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 4:33Shot by Chiarot, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 4:49Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 5:29Shot by Zub, saved by Talbot
  35. P2 6:24Holl: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Jensen, Chabot, Batherson, Cozens, Greig · DET Kane, Holl, Gustafsson, DeBrincat, Kasper

  36. P2 6:39Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ullmark5v4
  37. P2 7:06Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark5v4
  38. P2 7:39Goal by Perron (Giroux)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Perron, Chabot, Zetterlund, Greig · DET Compher, Larkin, Johansson, Edvinsson

  39. P2 7:51Shot by Raymond, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 8:05Shot by Chiarot, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 8:22Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 8:23Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark
  43. P2 8:27Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 8:39Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 8:42Shot by Holl, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 8:45Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 9:15Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 9:16Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 10:16Shot by Highmore, saved by Talbot
  50. P2 10:29Shot by Motte, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 11:09Shot by Chabot, saved by Talbot
  52. P2 11:58Greig: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · DET Kane, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond

  53. P2 12:33Shot by Kane, saved by Ullmark4v5
  54. P2 12:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark4v5
  55. P2 12:45Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark4v5
  56. P2 13:22Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Ullmark4v5
  57. P2 13:35Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Ullmark4v5
  58. P2 13:55Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Ullmark4v5
  59. P2 15:24Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  60. P2 16:06Batherson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Perron, Batherson, Cozens, Kleven, Matinpalo · DET Smith, Tarasenko, Compher, Johansson, Edvinsson

  61. P2 16:43Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark4v5
  62. P2 18:00Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Ullmark4v5
  63. P2 18:42Shot by Soderblom, saved by Ullmark
  64. P2 19:08Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:27Chiarot: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Soderblom, Raymond

  68. P3 0:31Shot by Edvinsson, saved by Ullmark5v4
  69. P3 0:43Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot5v4
  70. P3 2:51Shot by Larkin, saved by Ullmark
  71. P3 2:58Goal by Larkin (Raymond)+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Highmore, Pinto, Sanderson, Zub · DET Holl, Gustafsson, Larkin, Soderblom, Raymond

  72. P3 4:12Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 4:24Shot by Matinpalo, saved by Talbot
  74. P3 5:50Shot by Cozens, saved by Talbot
  75. P3 5:55Shot by Jensen, saved by Talbot
  76. P3 6:26Shot by Chiarot, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 6:36Shot by Kasper, saved by Ullmark
  78. P3 7:02Shot by Raymond, saved by Ullmark
  79. P3 12:10Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark
  80. P3 13:48Shot by Raymond, saved by Ullmark
  81. P3 14:01Shot by Soderblom, saved by Ullmark
  82. P3 14:03Shot by Raymond, saved by Ullmark
  83. P3 14:44Seider: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Amadio, Pinto, Greig, Sanderson, Zub · DET Chiarot, Larkin, Seider, Soderblom, Raymond

  84. P3 14:56Goal by Cozens (Sanderson, Tkachuk)5v4+34 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Cozens, Sanderson, Stützle · DET Holl, Motte, Rasmussen, Edvinsson

  85. P3 15:32Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Ullmark
  86. P3 17:19Shot by Seider, saved by Ullmark5v6
  87. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  88. P3 0:00Final5v6