Mon, Mar 10, 2025·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Detroit Red Wings 1, Ottawa Senators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.
27%
8%
58%
OTT winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23:28 | 0.14 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 21:14 | 0.42 | 76.6% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:16 | 0.38 | 77.9% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.26 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:00 | 0.04 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:51 | 0.03 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:43 | 0.29 | 96.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.16 | 86.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16:50 | 1.27 | 97.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:35 | 0.18 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:48 | 0.31 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.51 | 56.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.10 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:56 | 0.20 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.06 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.54 | +0.5 | 57:08 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 24:26 | 0.07 | 31.7% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:15 | 0.04 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.04 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.00 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.87 | 21.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.04 | 11.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:13 | 0.14 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 16.3% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:25 | 0.73 | 24.9% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:20 | 0.02 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.42 | 8.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.36 | 17.1% | +34.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.07 | 64.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.25 | 15.1% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:12 | 0.21 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:38 | 0.01 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:41 | 0.07 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 49 | 48 | 1 | .980 | 4.35 | +3.3 | 60:00 |