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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 10, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Hockey Club 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Hockey Club win this game 72% of the time.

UTA winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:00Carlo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Maatta, Kerfoot, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Nylander, Carlo

  3. P1 3:04Shot by Marner, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  4. P1 3:43Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll5v4
  5. P1 4:35Shot by Laughton, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  6. P1 4:53Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vejmelka5v4
  7. P1 8:05Shot by Lorentz, saved by Vejmelka
  8. P1 9:21Shot by Myers, saved by Vejmelka
  9. P1 9:43Shot by Stenlund, saved by Woll
  10. P1 11:44Doan: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: UTA Maatta, Crouse, Durzi, McBain, Doan · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Myers, Matthews, Benoit

  11. P1 12:12Shot by Tavares, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  12. P1 12:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  13. P1 12:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  14. P1 12:42Goal by Nylander (Marner, Knies)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Cole, Kerfoot, Sergachev, Hayton · TOR Tavares, Nylander, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  15. P1 12:59Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  16. P1 13:50Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Woll
  17. P1 15:29Shot by Holmberg, saved by Vejmelka
  18. P1 16:17Shot by McCabe, saved by Vejmelka
  19. P1 17:50Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll
  20. P1 18:18Cole: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, O'Brien, Stenlund, Carcone, Kesselring · TOR Laughton, Domi, Myers, Benoit, McMann

  21. P1 19:38Goal by Jarnkrok (Domi, Rielly)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Maatta, Kerfoot, Stenlund, Durzi · TOR Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Domi, McMann

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:20Shot by McCabe, saved by Vejmelka
  25. P2 2:08O'Brien: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, O'Brien, Carcone, McBain, Kesselring · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Lorentz, Kampf, Holmberg

  26. P2 4:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  27. P2 4:16Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Woll
  28. P2 4:48Goal by Benoit (Kampf, Holmberg)+10 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Kesselring, Guenther · TOR Lorentz, Myers, Kampf, Holmberg, Benoit

  29. P2 4:54Benoit: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, Crouse, McBain, Kesselring, Doan · TOR Laughton, Domi, Myers, Benoit, McMann

  30. P2 4:54Kesselring: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: UTA Cole, Crouse, McBain, Kesselring, Doan · TOR Laughton, Domi, Myers, Benoit, McMann

  31. P2 5:28Shot by Domi, saved by Vejmelka
  32. P2 5:44Shot by Knies, saved by Vejmelka
  33. P2 6:36Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll
  34. P2 7:56Shot by Carcone, saved by Woll
  35. P2 7:59Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vejmelka
  36. P2 8:14Goal by Carcone (Doan, McBain)+9 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Marino, Sergachev, Carcone, McBain, Doan · TOR Rielly, Laughton, Domi, Myers, McMann

  37. P2 8:30Shot by Crouse, saved by Woll
  38. P2 9:03Goal by Schmaltz (Maatta, Keller)+16 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Maatta, Schmaltz, Keller, Durzi, Cooley · TOR Tavares, Ekman-Larsson, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Carlo

  39. P2 9:18Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll
  40. P2 11:55Benoit: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Maatta, Crouse, Durzi, McBain, Doan · TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, Nylander, Myers, Benoit

  41. P2 12:11Goal by Hayton (Sergachev, Guenther)5v4+22 pts WP

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther · TOR McCabe, Carlo, Marner, Matthews

  42. P2 12:38Shot by Kesselring, saved by Woll
  43. P2 13:06Ekman-Larsson: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Marino, Keller, Sergachev, Cooley · TOR Ekman-Larsson, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  44. P2 13:20Shot by Keller, saved by Woll5v4
  45. P2 14:21Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll5v4
  46. P2 14:23Laughton: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther · TOR Jarnkrok, Laughton, Myers, Benoit

  47. P2 15:02Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll5v3
  48. P2 15:34Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Woll5v4
  49. P2 16:59Shot by O'Brien, saved by Woll
  50. P2 18:11Shot by Kesselring, saved by Woll
  51. P2 19:06Kerfoot: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Maatta, Kerfoot, Durzi, Hayton, Guenther · TOR Rielly, Carlo, Marner, Kampf, Holmberg

  52. P2 19:53Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  53. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:54Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  56. P3 2:52Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Woll
  57. P3 6:03Shot by Cooley, saved by Woll
  58. P3 6:06Tavares: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: UTA Maatta, Keller, Durzi, Guenther, Cooley · TOR Rielly, Carlo, Marner, Matthews, Knies

  59. P3 6:14Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Woll5v4
  60. P3 6:22Keller: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: UTA Schmaltz, Keller, Sergachev, Hayton, Guenther · TOR McCabe, Carlo, Marner, Matthews

  61. P3 8:17Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka4v5
  62. P3 9:49Shot by Cooley, saved by Woll
  63. P3 10:05Shot by Rielly, saved by Vejmelka
  64. P3 10:23Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Woll
  65. P3 12:03Shot by Marino, saved by Woll
  66. P3 15:12Shot by Maatta, saved by Woll
  67. P3 15:49Shot by McBain, saved by Woll
  68. P3 17:44Shot by Hayton, saved by Woll
  69. P3 18:11Shot by Sergachev, saved by Woll
  70. P3 18:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 1:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelka3v3
  74. OT 2:23Shot by Cooley, saved by Woll3v3
  75. OT 2:24Shot by Doan, saved by Woll3v3
  76. OT 2:25Shot by Doan, saved by Woll3v3
  77. OT 3:09Shot by Guenther, saved by Woll3v3
  78. OT 3:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Vejmelka3v3
  79. OT 5:00Period end3v3
  80. SO Period start
  81. SO Shot by Schmaltz, saved by Wollother
  82. SO Shot by Nylander, saved by Vejmelkaother
  83. SO Shot by Cooley, saved by Wollother
  84. SO Goal by Matthews, unassistedother
  85. SO Goal by Keller, unassistedother
  86. SO Goal by Marner, unassistedother
  87. SO Period endother
  88. SO Finalother