Mon, Mar 10, 2025·Delta Center, Salt Lake City
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Utah Hockey Club 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Hockey Club win this game 72% of the time.
64%
22%
UTA winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:06 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:00 | 0.29 | 24.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:33 | 0.84 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:05 | 0.03 | 30.4% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.07 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:02 | 0.33 | 36.8% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:21 | 0.68 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:27 | 0.03 | 27.7% | +15.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.17 | 37.5% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.08 | 28.8% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.03 | 68.1% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 22.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.11 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.01 | 41.6% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.09 | 38.6% | +9.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:12 | 0.02 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 4.16 | +1.2 | 64:44 |
Utah Hockey Club
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 26:10 | 0.01 | 57.6% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.08 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:35 | 0.42 | 58.7% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.16 | 73.2% | +21.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20:38 | 0.69 | 73.2% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.21 | 81.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:32 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 7 | 19:17 | 0.80 | 90.1% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:13 | 0.03 | 82.0% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:23 | 0.29 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.02 | 73.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:24 | 0.17 | 73.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.08 | 55.9% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.10 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:30 | 0.47 | 64.6% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.07 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:31 | 0.29 | 68.8% | +9.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:40 | 0.27 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.77 | −0.2 | 65:00 |